Inflation
Le rendement des bons du Trésor américain à 10 ans atteint 5,04 % dans un contexte d'inquiétudes concernant une hausse des taux de la Fed
Le rendement du titre de référence à 10 ans des Etats-Unis a atteint 5,04 %, son niveau le plus élevé depuis juillet 2007, alors que les marchés anticipaient une hausse des coûts d'emprunt avant la prise de décision de la Réserve fédérale mercredi.
Gold Prices Stabilize Amid Oil Price Surge and Strong U.S. Economic Data
Spot gold fell by 0.3% to $4,275.09 an ounce, while gold futures declined by 0.2% to $4,310.60 an ounce. The Federal Reserve's rate hike bets have increased following strong U.S. economic data.
L'inflation à Singapour augmente à 2,3 % YoY sous la pression de la demande alimentée par l'énergie, les transports et l'intelligence artificielle
Les prix à la consommation ont augmenté en août, avec une hausse de 0,6 % sur un mois, en raison des coûts de l'énergie, des hausses des taux de transport et de la demande alimentée par l'IA, le taux d'inflation sous-jacent atteignant 2,2 %.
La Banque centrale de Hongrie soutient le renforcement du forint pour aider à la désinflation
La Banque nationale de Hongrie estime qu'un forint plus fort peut contribuer à atteindre son objectif révisé d'inflation, soulignant que son impact sur la croissance est limité et qu'il n'y a aucune lien clair avec les performances d'exportation.
Les marchés internationaux plongeaient avant le sommet Trump-Xi, dans un contexte d'inflation et de risques géopolitiques
Les actions américaines et les rendements des obligations ont grimpé, du fait des inquiétudes concernant l'inflation et les tensions commerciales, tandis que le président américain Donald Trump accueillait le président chinois Xi Jinping pour un sommet à enjeux élevés.
La BCE prévoit des pressions salariales limitées dans un contexte d'inflation alimentée par l'énergie
Philip Lane, chef économiste de la Banque centrale européenne, affirme que la croissance des salaires reste modérée, malgré les coûts de l’énergie en croissance rapide, ce qui limite les risques d’inflation.
Le ravitaillement transfrontalier reste pertinent pour certains conducteurs suisses
Les taxes sur le carburant en Allemagne et en Autriche diminueront le mois prochain, ce qui creera un écart de prix avec la Suisse – mais seuls les conducteurs qui résident dans les régions frontalières économiseront assez pour justifier le voyage.
Vujcic de la BCE avertit que les prix du diesel pourraient augmenter l'inflation dans la zone euro
Le vice-président de la BCE, Boris Vujcic, a prévenu que les coûts énergétiques persistamment élevés pourraient ralentir la croissance, ce qui limiterait les attentes des marchés en matière d'augmentations des taux de manière agressive.
CIBC prévoit que le dollar canadien atteindra près de 1,42 USD/CA$ au quatrième trimestre 2026 alors que l'écart de taux s'étend
CIBC Capital Markets prévoit que le couple USD/CAD avoisera 1,42 en Q4 2026, en raison de l'élargissement de l'écart de taux d'intérêt et des tensions commerciales avec les États-Unis, tout en s'attendant à une politique de resserrement de la Fed et à un maintien des taux par la Banque du Canada.
Les actions de Campbell tombent à leur plus bas niveau en 52 semaines, au milieu de la faiblesse des bénéfices et des baisses de notation
Les actions du géant de la restauration se sont effondrées à 19,54 dollars après que Moody’s ait abaissé sa note de crédit et que les analystes ont ajusté leurs cibles de prix au milieu des baisses de revenus et des pressions de l'inflation.
Un portefeuille axé sur les crises de croissance et les hausse de taux d'intérêt
Les tensions géopolitiques et les rendements des obligataires dominent la semaine boursière - le prix du baril de Brent reste stable, le SMI dépasse temporairement les 14'000 points
La volatilité des obligations connaît des pics, alors que le Bitcoin et les actions demeurent résistants
La volatilité du département du Trésor américain atteint des niveaux élevés de mars, sous la pression des prix de l'énergie, alors que le Bitcoin et les indices de Wall Street affichent une volatilité réduite.
Les prix du gaz en Europe baissent considérablement dans le contexte d'une prise de profits
Les futures du gaz naturel en Europe et au Royaume-Uni ont chuté de 3,2 % vendredi, les deux benchmarks étant sur le point de subir une perte hebdomadaire de 8 %, soit leur perte la plus importante depuis la mi-juin.
Le plongeon global des obligations continue dans un contexte d'augmentation des craintes concernant les taux d'intérêt
Les rendements des obligations de la zone euro et des États-Unis ont atteint des records, ce qui suscite des inquiétudes concernant les risques pour les actifs et l'inflation. La hausse des prix du pétrole et les dépenses publiques alimentent encore les craintes d'inflation.
La confiance des consommateurs au Royaume-Uni augmente, mais les pressions inflationnistes pourraient inverser les gains
Le baromètre de la confiance des consommateurs de GfK a atteint un niveau record en septembre, mais la croissance des coûts énergétiques et l'inflation menacent de compromettre la reprise après les élections.
Le PMI de la zone euro atteint un niveau record depuis 3 ans, malgré le conflit en Iran, et les perspectives d'inflation de la BCE sont rajustées à la hausse
L'activité des entreprises a bondi au plus haut niveau depuis avril 2023, en dépit des tensions au Moyen-Orient et de la pression des prix de l'énergie.
Les actions américaines poursuivent leurs pertes alors que les prix du pétrole et la crainte de l'inflation pèsent
Le Dow Jones, le S&P 500 et le Nasdaq ont tous chuté de 0,2 % à 0,5 %, notamment en raison de la hausse des prix du pétrole et des risques géopolitiques.
Le président de la fédération de Philadelphie, Paulson, indique des possibles hausses de taux modérées pour contenir l'inflation
Anna Paulson a déclaré que des mesures de resserrement supplémentaires pourraient être nécessaires alors que l'inflation sous-jacente reste autour de 2,5 % à 3 %, après que la FED ait augmenté les taux à une fourchette de 3,75 % à 4 %.
Wall Street renforce ses pertes alors que la hausse des prix du pétrole et la hausse des rendements des obligations pèsent sur les actions
Le Dow, le S&P 500 et le Nasdaq 100 ont tous connu de nouvelles baisses jeudi, plombés par la hausse des prix du pétrole, une vente de titres obligataires qui a poussé les taux à 30 ans à leur niveau le plus haut depuis 2004 et des inquiétudes croissantes concernant l'inflation.
Schweizer Vorsorge : Discipline avant intuition pour des rendements à long terme
Les épargnants privés risquent souvent d'obtenir des rendements sous la moyenne en se laissant guidés par des décisions émotionnelles – un concept structuré de placement sur le modèle des caisses de retraite permet de minimiser le risque de prendre des décisions incorrectes.
La BCE prévoit une inflation dans la zone euro à 3 % en 2026 et une croissance en ralentissement
La Banque centrale européenne a revu à la hausse ses prévisions d'inflation pour 2027-2028 et a amélioré celles de la croissance du PIB pour 2026-2027, tablant sur une inflation de 3 % l'année prochaine, alors que les coûts de l'énergie rebondissent.
Les rendements américains ont atteint 5 % alors que les données PMI et les enchères d'obligations entraînent un sell-off sur le marché
Les rendements des Treasuries américains ont franchi les 5 % alors que les données positives du PMI et les enchères d'obligations échouées ont déclenché une forte baisse, les traders semblant prêcher pour une nouvelle hausse des taux de la Fed.
La BCE attend une hausse des taux de décembre : les instituts prévoient de nouvelles hausses dans la zone euro
Les principaux instituts de recherche économiques prévoient une nouvelle hausse des taux d'intérêt directeurs par la BCE en décembre 2024, avec un taux trimestriel potentiel de 2,75 %. Les prix de l'énergie et l'inflation restent des facteurs clés de la décision monétaire.
La SNB maintient ses taux à 0% dans le contexte d'une inflation suisse en hausse
La banque centrale suisse maintient son taux de référence à zéro pour cent, malgré les pressions inflationnistes, en citant les hausses des prix de l'énergie comme moteur principal.
Switzerland's SNB Keeps Rates at 0% Amid Global Tightening
Switzerland's central bank defies global rate hikes, but markets expect a move by early 2027. The Swiss franc's strength and unique economic factors help keep inflation low.
Austria Plans 12-Cent Fuel Price Cut for Oct-Nov
Vienna will slash mineral oil taxes and trim refiner margins to lower pump prices by more than 12 cents per liter, citing inflation as a top priority.
Franken schwächelt nach Zenit: Experten sehen Aufwertungsrisiko
Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) signalisiert erhöhte Interventionsbereitschaft; Euro-Franken-Kurs könnte sich stabilisieren oder leicht aufwerten.
Euro yields fall as crude, gas prices retreat on US-Iran talks
German 10-year Bund yield drops to 3.448%, 2-year Schatz yield falls to 3.19% as energy prices decline and diplomatic overtures emerge from New York.
European Central Bank raises interest rates by 25 basis points amid inflation concerns fueled by the Iran war and oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel
The European Central Bank increased its key interest rate by 25 basis points, citing inflation worries linked to the Iran conflict and oil prices above $100 a barrel.
Oil Prices Surge on Gulf Supply Disruptions and Saudi Attacks
A spike in crude oil prices driven by geopolitical conflict and supply concerns in the Gulf and Saudi Arabia is raising inflation worries and influencing central bank rate expectations, triggering risk‑off sentiment across global markets.
Switzerland Drops in Global Retirement Ranking as Inflation Pressures Pensions
Switzerland falls to fourth place in the Natixis Global Retirement Index as rising inflation, state debt and aging populations squeeze pension systems worldwide.
US inflation outlier driven by tariffs, AI memory prices
Goldman Sachs says the apparent US inflation surge stems mainly from temporary tariff effects and AI‑related memory price rises, while underlying services and labor costs remain contained.
BBVA CEO highlights 22.2% ROTE and strong Mexico growth at BofA conference
BBVA reported a 22.2% first‑half return on tangible equity, 62% loan‑book expansion since 2021 and a surge in digital customers in Mexico, while warning of higher inflation and rates in Turkey.
German Economy Shows Early Signs of Slowing Mid-Year
Industry and domestic demand indicators suggest a weakening in Germany’s post-pandemic recovery, despite recent positive business sentiment.
US equities retreat as Brent crude hits 107 USD, Fed focus intensifies
Wall Street declines further amid Brent crude’s 107 USD peak and inflation concerns, with tech and mining sectors hardest hit
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem says further rate hikes may be needed to quell inflation
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said additional rate hikes may be required to curb inflation driven by strong demand and a commodity price shock.
Trump urges Ukraine to halt strikes on Russian oil refineries
President Trump called on Ukraine to stop attacking Russian oil refineries, citing surging global fuel prices and record US diesel costs.
US-Futures steigen, Bitcoin erreicht 8-Monats-Hoch – Ölpreise sinken, Märkte profitieren von Stimmung
US-Futures und Schweizer Börsen eröffnen mit Gewinnen, während sinkende Ölpreise und Bitcoin-Rekordniveaus die Stimmung stabilisieren. Technologiewerte dominieren die Kurse, während die SNB-Zinssitzung und geopolitische Spannungen die Risikostimmung prägen.
Cuba’s Peso Hits Record Exchange Rate Amid Economic Crisis
New banknotes and private exchange markets reflect deepening monetary strain, but reforms lag behind inflation and fuel shortages.
ECB finds natural gas price surges could feed eurozone inflation faster than before
The European Central Bank says recent spikes in natural gas prices may translate into inflationary pressure in the euro area more quickly than in the past.
Schweizer Inflation steigt weiter – SGKB warnt vor Basiseffekten
Die Teuerung in der Schweiz beschleunigt sich, doch Experten betonen statistische Gründe und begrenzte Risiken für eine nachhaltige Erhöhung der Preise.
US Stocks Rise on Diplomatic Hopes, Crypto and Tech Stocks Gain
US stock markets show gains as investors await Trump-Xi meeting and benefit from falling oil prices. Crypto and tech stocks also see gains.
Silver Prices Rise as UBS Forecasts Higher Prices in 2027
Silver futures traded at $67.16, up 0.02%, as UBS predicts prices will reach $70 by December 2026 and $80 by September 2027, amid a forecasted 46.3 million-ounce deficit for 2026.
Schweizer SMI startet mit 15 von 20 Titeln im Plus – Givaudan führt Blue Chips an
Der SMI erholt sich nach Wochenverlust und zeigt sich dynamisch am Montagmorgen, während Technologie- und Gesundheitssektor besonders stark performen.
United Russia on track for decisive win as Ukraine launches major Moscow drone attack
United Russia leads the September 21 State Duma election with 57.5% of votes counted, while Ukraine carried out its largest drone strike on the Moscow region on the final voting day.
SNB Faces Rising Risk of Earlier Rate Hike Amid Rising Swiss Inflation
UBS and other economists now assess a higher likelihood of the Swiss National Bank raising rates sooner than previously expected, driven by inflation pressures and geopolitical risks.
Oil prices decline as U.S. crude inventories rise amid Middle East supply and pipeline considerations
U.S. crude inventories rose, putting downward pressure on oil prices while Middle East supply concerns persisted.
FTSE 100 Rises 0.3% as Mining Stocks Rally on Base-Metal Gains
Barratt Redrow led UK gains after beating profit estimates, while miners rallied on higher base-metal prices. UK inflation ticked up to 3.1% in August.
Schweizer Aktienmarkt erholt sich nach Vorwochenverlust: Roche, Novartis dominieren
Der SMI steigt um 0,6 % auf 13.854 Punkte, während KI-Aktien und Bauwerte unter Druck bleiben. Analysten revidieren Kursziele für Roche und Straumann, während Ölpreise und Fed-Zinsentscheidungen die Märkte prägen.
Pakistan imposes market curfew and fuel austerity as protests cost Rs120bn daily
Pakistan is closing markets at 9pm and tightening fuel-austerity rules as Finance Minister flags protests and sit-ins are inflicting around Rs120bn in daily economic losses.
UK Inflation Accelerates to 3.1% in August on Fuel Price Surge
Headline inflation rose from 2.9% in July as motor fuel costs jumped 23%, pushing the rate to its highest since December 2025.
US Stocks Slip as Oil, Fed Rate Hike Fears Weigh on Markets
The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 gave up ground Thursday as rising oil prices, the ECB rate hike, and inflation concerns overshadowed chip-sector losses tied to Deepseek competition.
ECB Raises Rates to 2.50% as Mideast Conflict Stokes Inflation Fears
The European Central Bank lifted its main deposit rate by 25 basis points and flagged persistent price pressures from the Iran war, lifting its inflation outlook for 2027 and 2028.
SMI sinkt vorbörslich leicht, Halbleiteraktien dominieren Verluste
Schweizer Aktienmärkte zeigen vor dem Wochenauftakt leichte Schwäche, getrieben durch Verluste bei 19 von 20 SMI-Titeln, während US-Zinsentscheidungen und Ölpreise weitere Risiken für globale Indizes schaffen.
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari Says Inflation Pressures Extend Beyond Oil Prices
Kashkari told Fox News that inflation pressures are broader than just oil price movements.
Builders FirstSource Hits 52-Week Low as Earnings Miss, Exec Departs
Shares of BLDR fall to $58.13 after Q2 adjusted EPS dropped 51% year over year, missing forecasts, while its president of technology and digital solutions departs.
US equities and commodities face pre-market declines amid inflation fears, oil volatility
Dow Jones and Nasdaq pre-market losses signal further Wall Street weakness; copper prices retreat after record highs amid US import speculation.
Tariffs, Fuel Costs and Rising Rates Squeeze American Companies
A triple bind of Trump-era tariffs, soaring diesel and jet fuel, and the Fed's rate hikes is compressing margins across manufacturing, logistics and retail.
German equities fall after ECB raises interest rates
The DAX lost 0.7% to 25,407 points, marking its lowest point of the day, as markets reacted to the ECB's second rate hike of the year and revised inflation forecasts.
ECB Raises Key Rates by 25 Basis Points to 2.5%
The European Central Bank delivered its expected quarter-point hike, citing resilient growth and persistent Middle East-driven inflation pressures.
US producer prices rise 0.4% in August, adding to Fed rate-hike pressure
August producer-price data came in hotter than expected, pushing 30-year Treasury yields to their highest since 2007 and lifting probability of a September rate hike to roughly 65%.
US jobless claims rise slightly amid stable but cautious labor market
Initial claims rose 2,000 to 206,000 in the latest week, while continuing claims climbed by 8,000 to 1.78 million, signaling persistent hiring caution.
Stournaras Warns ECB on Inflation Risks, Rates to Stay Cautious
ECB member cautions against hasty rate moves amid persistent inflation pressures and geopolitical risks.
Swiss Unions Demand 2.5% Wage Hike to Counter Inflation and Purchasing-Power Crisis
The Swiss Trades' Confederation is calling for a across-the-board 2.5% salary increase, citing lagging real wages, rising health-insurance costs and a deep purchasing-power squeeze affecting workers nationwide.
European Stocks Slip Ahead of ECB Rate Decision as Oil Prices Rise
The EuroStoxx 50, FTSE 100 and SMI edged lower on Thursday as investors awaited the European Central Bank's anticipated 25‑basis‑point rate hike. Higher oil prices and inflation worries weighed on sentiment, while autos gained and technology lagged.
German Stocks Decline as Investors Cautiously Await EZB Rate Hike
The DAX fell 0.2% to 25,529 points as investors brace for the European Central Bank's expected rate increase, amid rising oil prices and inflation concerns.
US stock futures move lower as traders brace for upcoming inflation reports and elevated Treasury yields
US equity futures declined ahead of scheduled inflation data releases while Treasury yields remained elevated, according to market observations.
Germany Inflation Rate Climbs to 2.9 Percent on Expensive Energy
Rising energy costs push Germany's headline inflation to 2.9 percent, while core inflation also climbs to 2.4 percent year on year.
Japan posts trade deficit for fourth month as soaring oil prices stoke import costs
Japan's trade balance slipped into negative territory for a fourth straight month, weighed down by steep energy import bills amid elevated global oil prices.
GBP/USD Drops 0.33% as BoE Rate Hike Expectations Rise
Sterling declines as BoE rate hike bets build, with Brent crude surging above $105 a barrel. U.S. PPI data shows energy prices driving inflation.
Oil Near $100 Tests Private Credit Borrowers Stressed by High Debt Costs
Leveraged private credit borrowers face mounting pressure as oil approaches $100 amid concerns that inflation could once again push interest rates higher.
Frankfurt Stock Exchange Opens with Stability Amid EZB Zinsentscheidung
German equities recover from prior losses amid Brent crude stabilization, with markets awaiting the ECB’s policy decision and outlook on interest rates.
Iran Flags Soaring Inflation, U.S. Tightens Sea Blockade and Sanctions
Iran's interior ministry called steep price rises 'worrying' as bread costs doubled in a week, while the U.S. expanded sanctions targeting Tehran's key economic sectors.
U.S. Stocks Fall on Higher Yields, Awaiting PPI and CPI Data
U.S. stock futures tick up after Wall Street falls on higher yields; PPI and CPI data awaited. 10-year Treasury yield rises to 4.961%.
Global central banks drive coordinated credit tightening amid inflation pressures
The Fed, ECB, Bank of England and Bank of Japan move in parallel as Middle East conflicts fuel energy-price inflation, with markets pricing nearly four more quarter-point hikes over the coming year.
U.S. inflation outpaces wage growth in August, squeezing household budgets
Consumer prices rose 3.4% YoY in August while average hourly earnings increased 3.1%, leaving real wages down 0.1% from July and prompting shoppers to shift toward discount retailers.
UK flight disruptions clear; Primark to offer home delivery
Flight schedules in the UK are expected to return to normal after a technical issue caused over 2,000 cancellations. Primark's parent company plans to spin off the retailer and introduce home delivery services.
Trump tariffs and Iran war pressure Fed toward first rate hike since 2023
Higher oil prices, new tariffs on Canada and ongoing Iran conflict have shifted market expectations to multiple Fed hikes, putting new chair Kevin Warsh’s credibility on the line.
China's August Retail Sales Miss Forecast as Investment Slump Deepens
Retail sales grew just 0.4% in August, missing forecasts, while urban fixed-asset investment fell 7.2% year-to-date. Industrial output surprised to the upside at 5.2%.
Mavi margins expand in H1 despite Turkey inflation pressure, revamps full-year outlook
Turkish denim retailer reports strong Q2 profit growth and improved gross margin, but lowers FY revenue guidance amid persistent inflation. Shares jump 8.5%.
U.S. Consumers Hit With $100 Billion in Extra Fuel Costs as Oil Surges Above $100
Americans have spent an additional $100 billion on fuel since the start of the Iran conflict, as crude prices remain above $100 a barrel.
SMI und US-Märkte unter Druck: Inflation, Zinsen und Nahost-Konflikt belasten Aktien
Der Schweizer Leitindex SMI und US-Aktienmärkte erleben am Donnerstag weitere Verluste, getrieben durch Sorgen um Inflation, Zinspolitik und geopolitische Spannungen.
Oil and U.S. Treasury Yields Hit Seven-Year Correlation High
Tight lockstep between yields and crude prices is intensifying cross-asset volatility and macro inflation concerns.
Community Health Systems revises 2026 guidance amid market pressures
Community Health Systems trims 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $1.338 billion from $1.415 billion, citing commercial elective softness and exchange-related headwinds. The company reports second-quarter EBITDA $60 million to $65 million below expectations.
Campbell’s Outlines Fiscal 2027 Turnaround Plan: Pricing, Cost Cuts and Margin Expansion
The snack giant aims for organic sales declines of 2%–4% but expects gross margin gains and EPS recovery by year-end, backed by pricing adjustments and a $500 million cost-saving program.
US-Märkte erholen sich nach Fed-Zinserhöhung: SMI steigt, UBS-Regelung vertagt
Die US-Aktienindizes zeigen vorbörslich positive Signale, während der SMI anzieht. Die UBS-Regelung zu Eigenkapitalvorschriften bleibt jedoch vertagt, und Roche zeigt Gewinnmitnahmen auf.
SMI in Red, 8 of 20 Blue Chips Gain; Nestlé Loses After Russia Report; Gold Rises
Swiss stock market closes lower after a positive week; gold prices increase amid rising interest rates; Nestlé shares fall after Russia business report.
European Natural Gas Set to End Five-Week Winning Streak
Dutch TTF and UK NBP wholesale gas prices face weekly losses despite a Friday rebound driven by Middle East geopolitical risks, while EU storage sits at 68.5% ahead of autumn demand.
US dollar hits two-week high as surging oil prices lift Treasury yields and Fed rate hike expectations
The US dollar reached a two‑week high as oil price gains lifted Treasury yields and heightened expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Oil prices surge past $100 per barrel as Middle East tensions escalate, impacting global equity futures and Asian markets
Oil prices rose above $100 a barrel amid rising Middle East tensions, affecting global equity futures and Asian markets.
NYSE closes lower as oil prices and Fed rate decision loom
The New York Stock Exchange saw a decline on Tuesday as investors remained cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Rising oil prices exacerbated the market's downward pressure.
Eurozone Stocks Drop as Brent Crude Surpasses $100
Oil price rises and geopolitical tensions weigh on European markets amid expectations of ECB rate hikes.
Treasury Plans $6 Billion in Debt Repurchases to Battle Rising Yields
The Treasury announced a $6 billion debt repurchase program, after which bond yields rose, indicating investors were underwhelmed by the purchase size.
SMI closes with biggest daily loss since March; Nestlé, Richemont hit three-month lows
Swiss Market Index (SMI) suffered a significant decline, with Nestlé and Richemont reaching three-month lows amid rising oil prices and inflation concerns. DocMorris surged on new bond issuance plans.
BlackRock Corporate High Yield Fund Drops to 52-Week Low
The high-yield corporate bond fund HYT fell to $8.22, reflecting pressure on credit investments as economic uncertainty and interest-rate shifts weigh on yields.
Switzerland Raises 2026 GDP Growth Forecast to 1.7% as Franc Weakness Helps
SECO lifts 2026 growth projection to 1.7% from 0.9%, citing stronger-than-expected Q2 data and a weaker franc boosting exports.
Eurozone Inflation Holds at 3.2% in August, May Climb Further
Eurozone inflation held at 3.2% in August despite an energy-driven spike, but economists warn secondary effects could push it past 4% by late 2027.
Swiss Pension System Score Hits Record High, Funding Fears Remain
Raiffeisen's Vorsorgebarometer reaches 725 points, up 28 from last year, driven by stronger pension fund finances — yet nearly 40% still fear the AHV cannot cover future costs.
Global Economy Is Running Out of Wiggle Room
Many countries softened the harshest impacts of the energy shock from the war in Iran, yet prices stay high and risks are increasing.
Fed Raises Rates; Chairman Warsh Leaves Open How Much More
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin M. Warsh said on Wednesday that the extent of future rate increases to combat inflation remains undecided.
Federal Reserve Raises Interest Rates, Signals More Tightening Ahead
The US central bank moved rates higher and indicated additional tightening could follow as US prices accelerate.
Poverty Rate Was Stable Before Trump’s Safety Net Cuts Gained Force
The poverty rate remained stable prior to the expansion of Trump-era safety net reductions, while median household income reached a record $87,460 in 2025.
Bessent Defends Bond Market Intervention Ahead of Congressional Testimony
The Treasury secretary addressed bond market intervention efforts and proposed $5,000 dividends for Americans if Republicans take control in November.
Bessent Defends Faltering Bond Market Intervention
Bessent publicly defended a bond market intervention that appears to be losing momentum.
MSC Industrial Targets Mid-Teens EBIT Margin in Turnaround Efforts
CEO Martina McIsaac outlines cost cuts, automation and cross-sell pipeline to lift margins to ~15% from 8.4% as metalworking segment faces input inflation pressures.
BoE MPC Faces Energy Inflation Risk as September Rate Decision Looms
Market expectations lean toward a hold at 3.75%, but three members signal potential for a 25 bps hike amid Middle East tensions and rising energy costs.
Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100 Expected to Decline as Rising Oil Prices Weigh
US stock markets anticipate further declines amid rising oil prices, fueling inflation concerns and raising interest rate expectations. Oil prices surge amid renewed attacks in the Persian Gulf, with Brent crude exceeding $100 per barrel for the first time since July.
European Stocks Slide as Bond Yields Surge and Energy Inflation Fears Mount
STOXX 600 fell 0.2% to 645.94 as German 10-year yields hit their highest since April 2011 and Brent crude stayed above $94 a barrel amid escalating US-Iran tensions.
Here’s the latest
Further details on the latest inflation-related developments were not immediately available.
U.S. Core CPI Rises to 337.77 in August 2026
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge edged up for a second consecutive month, reflecting continued price pressures after excluding volatile food and energy components.
UBS's Kunkel sees broadening rally, warns of three key risks
The UBS global family and institutional wealth CIO anticipates widening equity gains driven by earnings, while flagging oil shocks, AI monetisation doubts and fiscal pressures as top threats.
Swiss SMI falls below 14,000 as Brent oil hits $100
Switzerland's benchmark index slipped to its lowest level since mid-June amid oil-driven inflation worries, while luxury, construction and pharma stocks diverged.
Brent Crude Rises Above $100 Amid Middle East Conflict and Strait of Hormuz Tensions
Brent crude crosses the $100-a-barrel mark as geopolitical tensions escalate in the Middle East and around the Strait of Hormuz.
US 10-year yield forecast to hit 24-year high of 5.2% by year-end
Standard Bank's Steven Barrow sees the 10-year US Treasury yield reaching 5.2% by year-end and 5.3% in Q1 2027, after it rose to 5.01% on Monday.
Global stocks fall on energy shock fears and rising yields
Equity markets worldwide face selling pressure as investors react to surging global bond yields and growing concerns about a potential energy disruption.
Gold holds near $4,300 as Saudi pipeline shutdown lifts Fed rate-hike odds
Spot gold traded near $4,306 after Saudi Arabia closed its East-West pipeline, pushing markets to price about a 92% chance of a Fed rate increase this week.
NEF: Rising Oil and Gas Prices Are Germany's Top Inflation Risk
A Brussels think-tank study finds a 50% rise in oil and gas prices could add 1.8 points to European inflation and recommends separate ECB rates for green investment.
Gold prices firm on a softer US dollar, upcoming inflation data, and Middle East geopolitical risks
Gold held firm as traders weighed a softer US dollar, upcoming inflation data, and geopolitical risks in the Middle East.
London shares edge lower as oil rally fuels inflation concerns
London's equity market slipped modestly amid rising oil prices and heightened inflation worries.
China inflation accelerates to 0.8% in August, above expectations
Chinese consumer prices rose 0.8% year-on-year in August, meeting forecasts, while monthly growth of 0.4% beat analyst expectations of 0.3%.
Federal Reserve expected to raise rates under Chairman Kevin Warsh as oil tops $100 a barrel
Market observers note expectations of a Fed rate increase under Chairman Kevin Warsh amid persistent inflation and oil prices above $100 a barrel.
Canadian Dollar Drops Near 12-Day Low as Oil Support Fails to Offset Dollar Strength
USD/CAD traded around C$1.392 Monday, near its lowest level since early September, as weak inflation data and a stronger U.S. dollar outweighed oil price gains.
Oil prices surge as U.S.-Iran tensions escalate
Brent crude nears $100 per barrel, WTI hits $95.88, driven by U.S. military action against Iranian tankers and rising fuel costs.
London shares inch lower as oil rally fuels inflation concerns
London equities slipped modestly as higher oil prices heightened inflation worries.
UBS: Central Banks Should Focus on Market Inflation Expectations
Chief Economist Paul Donovan argues that central banks should prioritize financial market inflation expectations over consumer and corporate surveys when setting policy.
U.S. inflation data remains pivotal for upcoming Federal Reserve rate decisions after surprise hiring jump
U.S. inflation data is viewed as pivotal for upcoming Federal Reserve rate decisions after a surprise jump in hiring.
Dow Jones falls 1.18% amid weak US market start, Nasdaq outperforms
Oil price rises and geopolitical tensions dampened investor confidence, while tech stocks led Nasdaq gains amid AI-driven optimism.
General Mills reports volume rebound and $750 million cost‑saving target at Barclays consumer conference
The cereal maker said base pound volume turned positive, retail sales rose, and it aims to generate $750 million in savings in fiscal 2027 while inflation stays near the top of its 4‑5% guidance range.
European gas prices hit highest since 2023 on Iran shipping risk
Dutch TTF gas futures rose above €75/MWh and UK wholesale contracts reached 186p/therm as Iran-related disruption risks to LNG shipping lifted energy prices and bond yields.
Bitcoin Tests Key Support as WTI Crude Hits Three-Month High
BTC fell below $78,000 as Middle East strikes pushed WTI toward $95 per barrel, raising inflation worries ahead of Friday's CPI report.
Ukrainian central bank sees inflation near 10% in 2026 on Russian attacks
The Ukrainian central bank expects attacks and the Black Sea blockade to add 0.4-0.6 percentage points to this year's inflation and leave it around 10% by end-2026.
UK pays record 5.82% on 30-year bond
Britain sold £4.25bn of 30-year bonds at 5.8168%, the highest comparable yield since 1998, as inflation and oil-price concerns raised long-term borrowing costs.
Saudi Arabia Warns of Sharp Oil Export Drop After Pipeline Attack
Insiders say a drone strike on the kingdom’s East‑West pipeline could cut exports by up to 4% of global supply if repairs take weeks, tightening an already strained market.
Dax slips as Brent crude nears $100 and oil prices pressure German stocks
The Dax fell to 25,975 in early afternoon trade as Brent crude approached $100 and WTI and European gas prices rose, while stock-specific ratings drove moves in Dax and MDax names.
Gold Dips Below $4,400 Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Fed Watch
Gold prices fell below $4,400 as geopolitical risks and inflation concerns weighed on the metal, though long-term demand remains robust.
Oil near $97.50 as Hormuz risks lift inflation concerns; MoneySimpler expands AI trading
Brent crude is near $97.50 after rising about 35% since February on Strait of Hormuz disruption concerns, while MoneySimpler expands a free no-code AI trading service.
Fed rate hike is about Wall Street, not inflation, says economist
An economist says the Federal Reserve's upcoming rate increase is motivated by Wall Street concerns rather than inflation.
Oil Prices Climb Toward $98-$100 on Middle East Risks and Stronger Chinese Demand
Crude approaches key psychological thresholds amid escalating geopolitical tensions, supply concerns, and rebounding purchases from China.
US Stocks Post Weekly Losses on Rising Oil, Bond Yields
Wall Street stumbled to weekly losses as surging oil prices and bond yields fueled concerns about inflation and Federal Reserve policy.
US stocks post weekly losses as oil and bond yields fuel inflation concerns
Rising oil prices and bond yields weighed on US equities this week amid inflation fears and uncertainty around Fed policy.
UK Budget Faces Oil Shock, Gilt Sell-Off and Trump Policy Headwinds
Healey’s October budget may be constrained by higher borrowing costs, an oil-price spike and fiscal headroom that could shrink if the OBR uses current market conditions.
Oil Prices Rise on Middle East Conflict and Strait of Hormuz Supply Concerns
Crude markets climb as geopolitical tensions escalate and shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz face growing disruption risks.
California diesel prices climb significantly, approaching $8.30 per gallon
Diesel prices in California have risen sharply, nearing $8.30 per gallon.
ECB Widely Expected to Raise Interest Rates Ahead of Thursday Decision
Markets broadly anticipate the European Central Bank will implement another interest rate hike at its upcoming policy meeting.
Markets prepare for US inflation data after mixed Asian session, tech rally
Global markets are looking ahead to upcoming US inflation figures, following a day of varied performance in Asian equities and strength in technology shares.
EuroStoxx 50 slides 0.8% as oil price rise fuels inflation fears
The Euro Stoxx 50 fell to 6,368.98, its lowest since early August, as higher oil prices and heightened Iran tensions revived inflation concerns and expectations of an ECB rate hike. Swiss and UK indices also moved modestly.
Fed's Warsh says inflation is top focus, lifting September hike odds
Warsh told Jackson Hole that prices remain too high and the Fed may need to tighten if underlying inflation does not clearly move toward 2%.
Why the Dollar’s Stagnation Signals a Turning Point for USD/JPY
The dollar’s pause amid rising food‑energy inflation and a shrinking yield gap with Japan could reshape risk sentiment ahead of the US jobs report.
EUR/USD poised for range break as ECB decision and US inflation data loom
The pair trades in a tight band ahead of Thursday’s ECB rate announcement and Friday’s US CPI and PPI releases, with technical levels and rate‑path expectations shaping market outlook.
Proposed SEC Rules Would Limit Company Disclosures to Investors
New SEC proposals could reduce audit and disclosure requirements, lowering costs but raising concerns about hidden fraud or financial stress.
Scott Bessent Accuses China of Flooding World with Cheap Exports at G20
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said China is flooding the world with cheap exports during a G20 meeting.
Dutch Central Bank Cuts Gold Reserves in U.S. Amid Geopolitical Unrest
The Netherlands moved some 90 tons of gold from the New York Federal Reserve, citing geopolitical unrest, becoming the second European nation this year to reduce U.S. gold holdings.
Robust Hiring Reinforces Strength of the U.S. Economy
Employers added 162,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.1% last month, suggesting stability despite high inflation.
Trump Threatens to Halt Trade With Deficit Nations Unless Fed Cuts Rates
President Donald Trump said he could stop trade with countries where the U.S. runs a deficit if the central bank does not lower rates.
What to know about the report
A new inflation report has been released, though details are currently limited.
Gold Futures Slip Below $4,444 as Stagflation Risks Rise
Gold futures fell to $4,440 amid record U.S. diesel prices, Middle‑East tensions and a Trump‑led push for lower Fed rates, heightening stagflation concerns.
Why the BoC’s Inflation Warning Could Signal a Longer‑Term Looney Upswing
The Bank of Canada’s recent inflation caution may be more than a headline – it hints at tighter policy ahead, while U.S. rate moves and commodity trends set the stage for a measured CAD rally.
JPMorgan projects ECB third rate hike to 2.75% in December
JPMorgan forecasts a third ECB rate increase in December to 2.75%, a near‑certain second hike to 2.5% next week, and a policy pause through 2027, with cuts unlikely before 2028.
U.S. 30-year mortgage rate hits highest since July 2025 at 6.71%
Average rate rises 5 basis points week-on-week as energy-driven inflation pressures persist. Freddie Mac data shows mortgage costs climbing amid broader economic uncertainty.
Swiss inflation accelerates to 0.8% in August on energy price gains
August CPI rose from 0.4% in July, driven by higher energy and rental costs, reversing months of cooling price growth.
French services sector contracts for second month in August as PMI falls to 48.0
French service-sector activity shrank at an accelerated pace in August, with the PMI declining to 48.0 from 49.6 in July. New orders and employment also declined, while input costs rose sharply.
U.S. debt tops $40 trillion under Trump amid rising borrowing costs
National debt surpasses $40 trillion in Trump's second term as tax cuts and spending outpace revenue growth, with yields on U.S. bonds near two-decade highs.
ECB's Kocher says European economy gaining momentum
European Central Bank council member Martin Kocher flags resilience and improving growth in the euro area, while warning inflation remains a concern ahead of September policy decisions.
BofA cuts UK 2027 growth forecast on energy shock
Bank of America reduces UK growth outlook for 2027 to 1.2% due to higher energy prices and pre-Budget uncertainty, while lifting 2026 estimate to 1.2%.
Global bond selloff deepens as yields hit multi-decade highs
Rising inflation bets, soaring debt loads and central bank hawkishness have driven global bond yields to levels not seen in decades, with Japan's 10-year yield at 3% for the first time since 1996.
Fed's Warsh to deliver pivotal speech at Jackson Hole symposium
Investors await signals on U.S. monetary policy and inflation strategy as new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh addresses the annual Kansas City Fed gathering in Wyoming. Rising U.S. Treasury yields and debt sustainability concerns add urgency to the remarks.
RBC Capital maintains Campbell’s rating as stock slides amid pricing concerns
Analysts cite weak consumer demand and inflationary pressures despite pricing actions. RBC Capital keeps a Sector Perform rating with a $21 target as Campbell’s shares fall 23% year-to-date.
Gold falls below $4,400 per ounce as yields rise
Gold price drops 1.5% in London to $4,372 as investors favor higher-yielding bonds amid rising rate expectations. Eurozone inflation accelerates to 3.3%, fueling ECB tightening bets.
U.S. tech stocks slide as oil prices rise and rate hike bets grow
Nasdaq 100 drops 0.9% as oil price surge and rising Fed rate expectations weigh on rate-sensitive tech shares. S&P 500 and Dow Jones also fall ahead of Friday's jobs report.
German inflation rises to 2.9% in August, below expectations
German consumer prices rose 2.9% year-on-year in August, up from 2.8% in July but below the 3.1% forecast. Energy inflation accelerated to 10.5% amid regional supply pressures.
German inflation rises to 2.9% in August as energy costs surge
Consumer prices accelerated on higher energy costs, exceeding analyst estimates, while core inflation held steady. Euro zone data due Tuesday may show a similar trend.
India report warns higher food inflation may curb non‑food spending
The government's August monthly economic report says rising food prices could limit household expenditure on discretionary items, while noting uncertainty from an intensifying El Niño and monitoring bond‑market risks.
German inflation rises to 2.9% in August, nearing 3% mark
Consumer prices in Germany accelerated for a second straight month in August, driven by energy costs amid Middle East supply risks. Economists expect further upward pressure on core inflation.
Brazil’s Focus survey shows lower inflation, growth forecasts for 2026
Weekly central bank survey of economists cuts 2026 GDP and inflation expectations as Selic rate cut expectations firm for September. USD/BRL outlook remains steady.
German inflation rises to 2.9% on energy, low Rhine water
Consumer prices in Germany accelerated in August, driven by surging energy costs and disruptions to shipping on the Rhine due to drought. Core inflation held steady at 2.4%.
India's April-July fiscal deficit at 26.8% of FY27 target
Deficit widens to 4.55 trillion rupees in the first four months of the fiscal year, driven by higher capital spending. Target for full year remains 4.3% of GDP.
Bank of America warns of persistent inflation pressure on consumer goods firms
Commodity costs remain elevated into 2026, limiting pricing power for basic consumer goods companies despite recent food price declines. Energy and agricultural markets stay volatile amid geopolitical and climate risks.
Japan’s corporate services inflation accelerates to 3.6% in July
Corporate services price index rose above forecasts, signaling persistent inflation pressures as firms pass on costs. Bank of Japan rate hike bets intensify.
Japan's corporate services inflation hits 3.6% in July, fastest since 2023
Service-sector producer prices rose 3.6% year-over-year, up from 3.4% in June, as firms pass on rising costs amid a tight labor market and weak yen. Bank of Japan seen hiking rates in September.
Brazil unemployment rate falls to 5.3% as wage mass hits record
Jobless rate drops to lowest level since 2012, but robust wage growth keeps central bank policy cautious ahead of September rate decision.
UK inflation expectations rise to 3.9% in August, survey shows
Public expectations for price growth over the next year and longer term increased after months of decline, complicating the Bank of England’s inflation outlook.
U.S.-Iran conflict reshaping global trade, currency and defense spending
BCA Research outlines six structural shifts from the escalating conflict, including a shift away from dollar dominance, rising defense capex and nuclear proliferation risks. ProPicks AI’s Tech Titans strategy outperforms S&P 500.
IMF warns global economy faces persistent energy risks amid fiscal strains
Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva says the world economy has weathered recent energy disruptions better than expected, but warns of lingering inflation risks and rising fiscal pressures ahead of the G20 meeting.
Brazil’s election rivals clash over fixing long-term borrowing costs
Presidential rivals propose opposing strategies to lower Brazil’s 7.5% real interest rates amid rising debt levels. Lula’s camp favors bond buybacks, while the opposition insists on spending cuts.
Brazil’s Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro camps split on tackling high long-term rates
Divergent policy proposals from President Lula’s campaign and Flávio Bolsonaro’s team highlight competing strategies to reduce Brazil’s elevated real borrowing costs, amid rising debt levels.
Sonoco to hike European paperboard prices by €60 per ton from Sept 2026
Uncoated recycled paperboard grades in the EMEA region to rise by €60 per ton as Sonoco passes on inflationary and energy cost pressures. Effective September 15, 2026.
Brazil’s Bolsonaro camp proposes debt ceiling with automatic spending cap
Proposal aims to cap gross public debt at 65% of GDP, triggering spending limits if breached. Debt has risen over 10 percentage points since 2023 under Lula.
Why the Gold Surge Is a Warning Sign for the Whole Commodity Complex
Rising US yields and fiscal strain are pushing investors into gold, but the rally may signal deeper risk‑off pressures across energy and metals.
U.S. new home sales fall 10.5% in July as mortgage rates weigh
Sales pace drops to 607,000 units, the lowest since January, while median price falls to $393,800. Consumer buying plans decline to five-year low.
Italy extends diesel tax cut through early September
Cabinet approves €130 million revenue loss to sustain €17 per liter duty reduction until September 5. Government signals potential targeted aid for lower-income households after expiry.
Morgan Stanley flags Brazil election as binary event, warns on fiscal risks
Analysts project Ibovespa could swing between 130,000 and 250,000 points by mid-2027 depending on outcome, as fiscal trajectory hinges on October vote.
U.S. new single-family home sales drop 10.5% in July to 607,000 units
Decline follows June's downward revision and exceeds Reuters' 620,000-unit consensus estimate as high mortgage rates and elevated prices curb demand.
U.S. consumer confidence falls for second straight month in August
Conference Board index drops to 89.4 from downwardly revised 90.2 in July, as persistent inflation and elevated energy costs weigh on sentiment.
Record debt and election politics cloud France's 2027 budget outlook
France faces a budget battle with a 5% deficit target and rising borrowing costs as political uncertainty ahead of next year's presidential election weighs on fiscal credibility.
U.S. mortgage delinquencies fall in July, foreclosures rise
National delinquency rate drops to 3.39% as serious delinquencies and foreclosure starts increase year-over-year. Louisiana reports highest non-current rate, Idaho the lowest.
What UK households expect from the Budget
The upcoming UK Budget will be scrutinised for measures addressing household finances amid cost-of-living pressures.
Trump Administration Proposes Raising Small Business Thresholds
Proposed changes to federal small business definitions could shift federal contracting and loan eligibility.
Nearly half of global oil supply threatened by conflicts, analysis shows
Disruptions in the Middle East and Ukraine have removed 5-7 million bpd from markets, tightening refined fuel supplies and raising inflation risks. Global refining capacity has fallen 10% since 2022.
U.S. core PCE inflation holds at 3.3% in July, matching forecasts
Analysts see sticky services inflation as a key risk, with Fed policy focus shifting to Jackson Hole and September FOMC meeting. Consumer spending growth adjusted for inflation flat.
Smaller Revision Points to More Accurate Jobs Numbers
The Bureau of Labor Statistics' 2026 revisions adjust total workforce figures by 0.1 percent.
Factors that could prompt a Federal Reserve rate hike
The Federal Reserve has not signaled an imminent change, but several economic conditions could lead to a rate hike.
US consumer spending rises 0.2% in July despite sticky inflation
Personal consumption increased more than forecast as inflation pressures persist. PCE inflation held at 3.7% in July, underscoring the Fed's challenge ahead of Jackson Hole.
Brazil inflation falls to 4.24% in early August, within target band
Consumer prices declined 0.4% month-on-month, undershooting forecasts as the central bank's fourth straight Selic cut takes effect ahead of September policy meeting.
France's August inflation accelerates to 2.7% year-on-year
Harmonized consumer prices rose from 2.4% in July, driven by higher energy costs, according to preliminary data from France's statistics agency.
South Korea raises interest rates to 3.00% in back-to-back hike
The Bank of Korea increased its benchmark rate by 25 basis points as inflation remains above target. The move follows a prior hike and aligns with expectations from most economists surveyed.
Brazil's IPCA-15 inflation drops 0.40% in August, 12-month rate falls to 4.24%
The consumer price index IPCA-15 declined for the first time since August 2025, while the 12-month reading eased below the central bank's target ceiling. Food, housing and transport costs drove the monthly decrease.
ECB signals likely July rate hike after July meeting pause
Minutes show officials prepared to raise benchmark rate to 2.5% from 2.25% as inflation nears 3% and corporate lending surges 4.4%.
Swiss economic calendar: Key events for Aug 27-Sep 3, 2026
Swiss companies report first-half results while macro data on employment, retail sales and inflation are due. Regulatory and sector events also feature in the week's agenda.
Colombia’s central bank sees inflation near 3% target by mid-2028
Projections indicate inflation will ease to 4.3% by end-2027, still above the 3% target, as domestic demand outpaces supply. Fiscal rule compliance remains suspended through 2027.
Canadian oil sands maintenance to tighten U.S. crude supply by 300,000 bpd
Seasonal maintenance in Canada’s oil sands threatens to cut heavy crude exports to U.S. refiners, compounding global fuel supply constraints and lifting refining margins further.
U.S. housing, confidence data due Tuesday as markets eye Fed outlook
Building permits and new home sales forecasts point to a modest rebound in construction, while consumer confidence is expected to slip slightly. Richmond Fed’s Barkin also scheduled to speak.
Trump Threatens Higher Tariffs on Canadian Exports After Talks Fail
Renewed threats follow the collapse of trade negotiations between the U.S. and Canada.
ECB's Cipollone sees no eurozone stagflation despite Hormuz tensions
European Central Bank director Piero Cipollone says the eurozone economy remains resilient despite Iran-U.S. tensions disrupting a key oil transit route. Inflation projections align with ECB forecasts through 2028.
Brazil 2026 GDP growth forecast cut to 1.95% in latest central bank survey
Analysts trimmed Brazil's 2026 GDP growth outlook to 1.95% from 1.98% in the latest weekly central bank survey. Inflation projections for 2026 and 2027 were largely unchanged.
Brazil sets 2027 minimum wage at R$1,741, budget bill on track
The federal government has finalized the minimum wage for 2027 at R$1,741, with the 2027 budget bill set for submission by August 31. Adjustments comply with legal inflation and GDP-linked formulas.
Citadel warns Treasury bond buybacks may weaken dollar
Citadel Securities cautions that expanded U.S. long-dated Treasury buybacks could ease financial conditions and stoke inflation by depressing the dollar.
Eurozone PMI rises as inflation pressures ECB rate path
Euro area business activity improved in August, but rising energy costs and sticky core inflation may limit the ECB's scope for further tightening beyond September.
Six months of war reshapes global markets, policy focus at Jackson Hole
Geopolitical tensions and energy disruptions drive inflation and policy shifts as central banks convene. Nvidia earnings and South Korea’s rate decision add to the week’s key events.
UK growth outlook steady despite inflation uptick, Barclays says
Flash PMI data signals resilient activity in August, but inflation pressures and fiscal slippage weigh on outlook. Barclays lifts 2027 inflation forecast.
Diesel crisis deepens as refining outages strain global supply
European diesel prices surge 70% since war began while U.S. cracks hit record highs. Tight refining capacity and shrinking inventories risk prolonging price spikes into winter.
UK growth holds despite inflation pressures, Barclays says
Composite PMI rises to 52.5 in August as services lead; Barclays lifts 2027 inflation forecast to 2.5%.
UBS sees Swiss rents rising despite record-low reference rate
Swiss mortgage reference rate to stay at 1.25% through 2027, but new rental contracts remain 15% higher than five years ago as supply tightens.
ECB's Cipollone urges Single Market reforms to boost EU firms' competitiveness
Executive Board member highlights removal of internal trade barriers as key to scaling EU firms amid external shocks, while warning against over-reliance on monetary policy.
Data#3 shares jump 14.7% to record after FY2026 results
Australian IT services firm posts 12.7% sales growth, 16.6% EBIT rise and declares 18.25c final dividend. Shares hit AUD 10.79.
Italy extends diesel tax cut as fuel prices rise
Government prolongs €0.17/liter reduction amid elevated diesel and gasoline costs; highways see €2.203/liter diesel price.
Iran warns U.S. of economic retaliation amid escalating sanctions
Tehran cautions Washington over potential blowback from stricter trade restrictions, as Trump administration prepares to unveil sweeping measures. Iranian officials vow reciprocal measures against regional oil exporters.
Japan's core inflation accelerates to 1.8% in July, BOJ seen hiking rates
Underlying price pressures rose for a second month as yen weakness and Middle East tensions lifted energy costs. The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates in September.
Japan PM links inflation, bond yields to economic growth
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi says rising prices and bond yields reflect Japan’s expanding economy, while vowing to prioritize wage growth and fiscal stability.
Eurozone consumer inflation expectations fall for third month in July: ECB survey
Median inflation projections for the next 12 months declined to 2.9% from 3.0%, while three-year outlook eased to 2.7%. Five-year expectations remained unchanged at 2.4%.
Gold rallies to 3-month high on fiscal risks, ETF inflows
The metal has climbed from July lows near $4,000/oz to around $4,600/oz, supported by U.S. Treasury buyback expansion and renewed ETF demand. Persistent inflation and potential Fed tightening remain key risks.
UK economy grows 0.4% in Q2 as Burnham prepares first budget
Growth exceeded expectations in the second quarter, led by services and AI-related sectors, ahead of Finance Minister John Healey’s October budget. Retail sales and consumer confidence also improved.
U.S. equity funds see $11.7 bln inflows as earnings, inflation ease pressures
Investors added to U.S. equity funds for a second week through Aug. 19, with $11.72 billion in net purchases, led by large-cap funds. S&P 500 earnings beat rate of 85% supported flows despite broader market declines.
U.S. to temporarily ease ground beef import quotas to lower prices
Trump administration allows up to 300,000 metric tons of ground beef imports duty-free for 90 days, aiming to cut retail prices by 25% amid tight domestic cattle supply.
Investors Rethink Portfolios as Inflation Fears Drive Shift to Alternatives
Traditional 60/40 allocations struggle as inflation erodes returns; advisors favor short-duration bonds, commodities and real assets to hedge purchasing power.
UK retail sales fall 0.5% in July after World Cup-driven June surge
Clothing and footwear led the decline as summer sales pulled forward demand, while annual growth slowed to 1.6%. GfK confidence hit a two-year high in August.
SNB’s Tschudin warns AI could fuel near-term inflation pressures
Swiss National Bank board member cites redirected investment flows and chip shortages as potential short-term drivers of price gains, though long-term impact remains uncertain.
Trump widens beef imports to ease prices
Imports are increased as domestic cattle herds shrink due to drought and reduced margins.
German producer prices rise 3.0% in July, fastest since 2023
Manufacturers' prices increased 3.0% year-on-year, exceeding forecasts and driven by intermediate goods and energy costs. The gain marks the strongest rise since April 2023.
30-year U.S. mortgage rate falls to 6.65%: Freddie Mac
The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage declined for a second straight week, easing to 6.65% from 6.67% a week earlier. The 15-year rate also dipped slightly.
Europe accelerates funding for cutting-edge startups amid investment gap
Governments seek to bridge a nearly $1 trillion funding shortfall by supporting innovative businesses.
Extreme weather costs Europe billions as droughts and heatwaves strain economies
Record temperatures and low water levels disrupt shipping, power generation and agriculture, with Allianz estimating a 0.3 percentage point hit to euro zone GDP this year. Southern Europe faces prolonged growth losses and fiscal strain.
Canada industrial prices rise 0.6% in July on energy gains
Industrial producer prices increased for the first time in two months, led by energy and petroleum products, while core measures excluding energy softened. Annual gain remains elevated at 12.4%.
Japan’s bond rout threatens fiscal plans as 10-year yield nears 3%
Surge in JGB yields to three-decade highs risks derailing Japan’s fiscal strategy, with debt-servicing costs projected to rise by over 30% by fiscal 2029. Policy makers face limited options amid persistent inflation pressures.
UK inflation rises to 2.9% in July, exceeding BoE target
Consumer prices climb 2.9% year-on-year, up from 2.6% in June, driven by housing and household services costs. Core inflation remains steady at 2.6%.
European stocks fall to two-week lows; bond yields climb ahead of ECB, Fed signals
Stoxx Europe 600 drops for sixth straight session as yields surge to multi-year highs; ECB chief economist flags persistent inflation risks. U.S. Treasury expands bond buybacks.
Slovakia’s July inflation slows to 3.2% y/y from 3.5%
Slovak consumer prices rose 0.1% month-on-month in July, while annual inflation eased to 3.2% from 3.6% in June, defying expectations for a monthly decline.
UK CPI accelerates to 2.9% on energy costs, matching forecasts
Headline inflation rose to a four-month high as Ofgem's energy price cap reset lifted household bills by £221. Analysts see limited second-round effects but warn of further upside.
UK inflation rises to 2.9% in July, energy costs lift pace
Consumer prices increased as household energy bills surged following Ofgem’s 13% price cap hike. Economists had broadly anticipated the pickup.
EUR/GBP gains as inflation divergence supports ECB rate expectations
UK inflation rise driven by energy costs while euro area shows stickier underlying pressures, narrowing sterling’s yield advantage. Analysis flags 0.8660 as next resistance.
RBA’s Hauser signals possible rate hike if inflation risks materialize
Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser warns that Australia’s central bank may resume tightening if upside inflation risks, including geopolitical tensions and the AI-driven productivity gap, escalate.
Fed research finds productivity gains limited tariff inflation
A Federal Reserve study examines the impact of tariffs on inflation amid productivity constraints.
Watchdog Accuses Dominican Sugar Importer of Labor Violations
A report alleges a Dominican sugar importer, previously subject to an import ban, has continued to violate labor standards despite policy changes.
Eurozone inflation accelerates to 2.9% in July as ECB weighs next move
Consumer prices rose 2.9% year-on-year, up from 2.8% in June, while core inflation edged higher to 2.5%. ECB policymakers will scrutinize the data ahead of their September meeting.
Eurozone inflation rises to 2.9% in July on energy surge
Harmonized inflation accelerated from 2.8% in June as energy costs surged 10.3% year-over-year, while ECB policymaker Olli Rehn sees no second-round effects yet.
South Africa’s July inflation slows to 4.3%, SARB target still in sight
Annual inflation eased to 4.3% in July, below forecasts, but remains just above the central bank’s 3%-4% target range. Policy outlook hinges on temporary factors.
Dollar, euro lose nearly half their purchasing power since 2000
U.S. dollar and euro purchasing power halved over 25 years, while Swiss franc held value better amid divergent central bank policies. Inflation trends and wage dynamics compared.
US import prices fall 0.4% in July, easing inflation pressure
Crude oil costs drove the unexpected decline, while economists had projected a modest rise. Fed rate-cut expectations gain traction ahead of September meeting.
Azerbaijan Raises 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.7%
Azerbaijan's authorities have revised their consumer price growth projection upward for 2026, setting the new inflation forecast at 5.7%.
European Equities Slip as Rising Oil Prices and Inflation Fears Weigh
European stock markets edged lower on Tuesday, pressured by rising crude prices and mounting inflation concerns amid upward pressure in bond yields.
German 10-Year Yield Hits Highest Since 2011 Amid Global Bond Sell-Off
Germany's 10-year sovereign bond yield surged to its highest level since 2011 as a broader international debt sell-off escalated.
UK Grocery Inflation Slows to 2.1% in Early August
UK grocery price growth decelerated to 2.1% at the beginning of August, according to market data.
UK Grocery Inflation Eases Further, Kantar Worldpanel Reports
British grocery price inflation has declined further, according to the latest data from market research firm Worldpanel.
Asian Equities Decline Amid Renewed Oil and Bond Yield Inflation Pressures
Asian stock markets retreated as rising oil prices and higher bond yields rekindled investor concerns regarding persistent inflation.
US Beef Inflation Stalls Consumer Demand, Posing Political Risk for Trump
Steep price increases for beef across the United States are reducing consumer willingness to pay, presenting a timely challenge for the Trump administration.
Brazil’s central bank chief warns demand outpaces supply
Central bank governor signals inflationary pressures as domestic demand exceeds productive capacity.
Why Canada’s Inflation Surprise Is a Double‑Edged Sword for the Loonie
The latest CPI beat forces the Bank of Canada onto a tighter path, but higher rates could also dampen growth and reignite USD‑CAD volatility.
Iran’s rulers fear U.S. pressure amid economic strain and war
Iranian leadership weighs risks of further U.S. sanctions as economic instability and regional conflicts compound domestic unrest.
Australia consumer sentiment rises in August, Westpac survey shows
Index climbs from July but remains below pre-pandemic levels amid persistent economic concerns.
Canada's inflation accelerates to 3% on gasoline costs
Annual inflation rate rises above Bank of Canada's 2% target, driven by fuel prices. Core measure also climbs, signaling persistent price pressures.
Brazil's Q2 GDP growth slows to 0.6%, central bank index shows
Modest expansion follows 1.4% growth in Q1 as Brazil's economy shows signs of cooling. Central bank data highlights mixed sectoral performance.
Nigeria’s inflation slows to 15.43% in July, first decline in 10 months
Consumer prices rose at the slowest pace since October 2023, driven by moderating food costs and base effects. Analysts cite mixed signals on policy impact.
Brazil’s IGP-10 inflation index declines 0.51% in August
Wholesale price gauge posts first monthly drop since March, signaling easing cost pressures ahead of central bank policy decisions.
Chicago Fed's Goolsbee Cites Improvement in Recent Inflation Data
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee noted that recent economic data shows a positive trend regarding inflation.
Canada’s July Annual Inflation Accelerates to 3% on Gasoline Rebound
Canada's annual inflation rate rose to 3% in July, driven primarily by a rebound in gasoline prices.
Federal Reserve Rate Hike Bets Ease as Markets Await Retail Earnings
Expectations for an imminent Federal Reserve interest rate hike are fading as investors prepare for upcoming major retail earnings reports.
Malaysia's July CPI rises 1.8% y/y, below expectations
Consumer prices in Malaysia increased 1.8% year-on-year in July, undershooting forecasts of 2.0% amid softening food and transport costs.
U.S. retail sales fall as consumer demand weakens
Monthly retail sales declined 0.6% in August, missing forecasts and signaling broader economic strain. Core sales also dipped, raising recession concerns.
U.S. retail sales unexpectedly decline in July
July retail sales fell 0.1% from June, missing forecasts, as higher prices and cautious consumer spending weighed on demand.
Massachusetts anti-hunger advocate fasts against Trump food stamp cuts
Activist begins hunger strike to oppose proposed reductions to SNAP benefits, citing concerns over food insecurity.
Croatia's July inflation slows to 3.9% from June's 4.5%
Consumer prices in Croatia rose 3.9% year-on-year in July, down from 4.5% in June, aligning with regional disinflation trends.
France's July inflation climbs 2.4% year-on-year
Consumer prices in France rose 2.4% in July from a year earlier, slightly above market expectations, official data shows.
Argentina inflation accelerates to 2.1% in July
Monthly price growth in Argentina rose to 2.1% in July, up from June's 2.0%, as inflation pressures persist in Latin America's third-largest economy.
Argentina's July inflation climbs to 2.1% month-on-month
Consumer prices rose 2.1% in July, up from June's 2.0%, as food and energy costs continued to pressure households.
Silver rally underscores dominance of real yields over inflation
Prices surge as U.S. Treasury yields adjust for inflation expectations, highlighting the metal’s sensitivity to real-rate shifts.
Grupo Aval Q2 2026 ROAE rises to 12.7% on margin gains
Colombia's largest bank holding company reports improved profitability metrics for Q2 2026, driven by net interest margin expansion despite macroeconomic headwinds.
U.S. PPI flat, misses expectations in latest data
Producer prices unchanged in May as forecasted growth fails to materialize, signaling persistent disinflationary pressures.
Poland to reduce fuel VAT, cap prices from Aug. 17
Government to lower VAT on gasoline and diesel while imposing temporary price ceilings to ease consumer costs amid inflation pressures.
Romania slashes diesel excise duty by 20% to curb fuel costs
Government reduces tax burden on diesel to ease inflationary pressure on transport and logistics sectors amid elevated energy prices.
BofA: Packaged food price cuts fail to lift volumes
Bank of America analysis shows U.S. packaged food producers slashed prices by 10% but saw no corresponding rise in sales volumes.
Ireland’s inflation steady at 3.4% in July
Consumer prices rose 3.4% year-on-year, unchanged from June, as food and energy costs weighed on household budgets.
U.S. inflation proves stickier than July CPI suggests, analysts warn
Underlying price pressures remain elevated despite a mild July CPI reading, raising concerns over the Federal Reserve's policy path. Bitcoin's volatility reflects shifting market expectations.
Cisco Posts AI-Driven Profit Jump as Markets Await Key PPI Data
Cisco systems reports a profit increase driven by artificial intelligence demand, while global markets await upcoming producer price index data.
Spain's July Inflation Accelerates to 3.9%, Exceeding Forecasts
Spain's annual inflation rate climbed to 3.9% in July, surpassing analyst expectations for the month.
Examining the Factors Behind Stable UK Food Inflation Rates
An analysis into why consumer food prices in the United Kingdom have avoided the sharp surges seen in other economic sectors.
Japan PPI Inflation Rises to 3.5-Year Peak in July Despite Missing Forecasts
Japan's producer price index inflation accelerated to a 3.5-year high in July, even though the increase fell short of market expectations.
German firms' U.S. investment falls to three-year low
Outbound direct investment from Germany to the U.S. declined sharply in Q2, driven by economic uncertainty and higher financing costs.
Gold under pressure as inflation, Iran risks weigh on markets
Sticky inflation data and escalating Middle East tensions drive gold lower, while investors assess policy and geopolitical risks.
Russia's July inflation slows to 0.54% month-on-month
Consumer price growth eased to the lowest monthly rate since February, led by slower food and fuel price increases.
U.S. inflation cools slightly in July as energy prices retreat
Consumer prices rose 3.2% year-on-year, down from 3.4% in June, but underlying inflation pressures persist amid geopolitical risks.
Corporación América Airports posts earnings ahead of Argentina test
Airport operator reports financial results amid economic and regulatory scrutiny in Argentina, its largest market.
Fed Should Raise Interest Rates to Restrain Growth and Inflation, Hammack Says
Federal Reserve policy should lean toward higher interest rates to properly restrain economic growth and persistent inflation, according to remarks from Hammack.
Trump's 2024 Grocery Photo Op Emerges as Republican Vulnerability in Midterms
A 2024 campaign event focusing on grocery costs returns as a political challenge for Republicans ahead of the midterms.
Ignitis Group H1 2026 profit declines amid stock drop
Lithuanian energy firm reports lower first-half earnings for 2026, with shares falling on the news. Key factors include market volatility and operational costs.
India’s July inflation rises to 4.45%, RBI stance seen unchanged
Consumer prices rose faster than expected, but analysts expect the central bank to maintain its policy stance amid growth concerns.
UBS warns era of cheap food is ending, flags stock picks
Swiss bank highlights structural inflation pressures in agriculture while an AI tool selects equities to capitalize on the shift.
Global markets weighed down by persistent inflation pressures
Persistent inflation trends dominate investor sentiment, overshadowing other economic signals and driving cautious trading across equities and bonds.
Italy’s consumer prices fall in July, annual inflation eases
Italy’s consumer price index declined 0.2% month-on-month in July, while annual inflation slowed to 0.8% from 0.9% in June, data from Italy’s statistics agency showed.
Shurgard Self Storage shares fall after weak outlook
Dutch self-storage operator warns of slower growth as European demand softens and costs rise.
U.S. inflation cools to 3.4% in July, below forecasts
Consumer prices rose 3.4% year-on-year, marking the smallest increase since February 2021 and easing pressure on the Federal Reserve.
Ashoka Buildcon trims FY27 outlook on margin pressure
Indian infrastructure firm lowers full-year revenue and profit forecasts citing softer margins and cost pressures. FY27 outlook revised amid market volatility.
Romania's inflation slows to 8.16% in July, above expectations
Consumer prices rose 8.16% year-on-year, down from 9.06% in June but exceeding forecasts. Core inflation also moderated to 10.3%.
German inflation climbs to 2.8% in July
Consumer prices rise above June’s 2.4% as energy costs weigh on households, latest data shows.
Airlines face highest fuel-cost risk as oil prices surge
U.S. carriers including Delta, United and American lead exposure to volatile crude prices, with fuel costs accounting for up to 30% of operating expenses.
Gold faces pressure as geopolitical risks stoke energy-driven inflation
Renewed tensions may fuel energy costs, raising inflation expectations and prompting a sell-off in the yellow metal amid broader market uncertainty.
Gold prices surge on safe-haven demand, long-awaited rally
Gold extends gains as investors seek shelter amid economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions. The precious metal rises above key technical levels.
UK allocates £65 million to support farmers amid drought
Government announces emergency funding to mitigate water shortages and crop losses as dry conditions persist across England.
Trump weighs capital gains tax reduction ahead of midterms
Former U.S. President Donald Trump is exploring options to lower capital gains taxes, a move that could bolster investor sentiment ahead of the November midterm elections.
Poland's economic index dips below neutral in August
The Economic Sentiment Indicator falls to its lowest since April 2021, signaling weakening economic confidence amid rising inflation and policy uncertainty.
Truflation data chief outlines inflation outlook for coming months
Alternative inflation tracker's head of data projects near-term price pressures amid shifting economic conditions.
U.S. auto loan debt hits record high, NY Fed data shows
Total U.S. household debt rose to $17.69 trillion in Q2, with auto loans reaching $1.56 trillion amid rising borrowing costs.
Atlanta Fed's Venable: U.S. inflation remains too high
Federal Reserve official cites persistent price pressures despite recent cooling in consumer inflation data.
German EV sales rise as fuel prices jump amid Iran tensions
Electric vehicle registrations in Germany increased 20% in May as gasoline and diesel costs hit record highs, driven by Middle East supply concerns.
U.S. consumer prices rise 0.2% in July as forecast
Annual inflation holds steady at 3.2% as shelter and food costs offset declines in energy prices.
Brookdale Q2 2026 slides highlight demographic tailwinds, near-term challenges
Demand for senior living expected to rise with aging population, though near-term headwinds persist in Brookdale's latest investor presentation.
U.S. existing home sales fall for second straight month in July
Sales of previously owned homes declined 2.2% from June, extending a streak of softening demand amid elevated mortgage rates and tight inventory.
EPL Q1 FY27 revenue rises 25% despite commodity inflation
Revenue growth driven by pricing power and volume gains, though rising costs from commodity inflation weigh on margins.
Brazil inflation slows to 4.5% in July, hits central bank target
Consumer prices rose at the slowest pace in 16 months, aligning with the central bank's 4.5% target as food and fuel costs eased.
Indian bonds slip as Brent crude tops $90
Benchmark 10-year yield rises as higher oil prices stoke inflation concerns and weigh on investor sentiment.
Brazil inflation slows to 4.4% in July, fuels rate cut bets
Consumer prices rise at the slowest pace since February 2021, reinforcing expectations for a central bank policy easing cycle.
Brazil inflation rises 0.07% in July, outpacing forecasts
Consumer prices increased modestly, defying expectations for a flat reading as food and transport costs offset declines in fuel. Annual inflation remains below the central bank's target.
Brazil’s central bank says inflation still driven by demand despite rate hikes
Monetary tightening has yet to fully curb price pressures, central bank survey shows demand remains primary inflation driver.
US small-business sentiment hits 11-month high in July
NFIB index rises to highest since August 2023, though labor shortages remain a persistent concern for owners.
Jungheinrich shares steady after order beat in warehouse equipment
Orders rose 14% in Q2 but shares remained flat as investors weighed margin pressures and cautious guidance.
German yields rise to Aug. 3 high on energy-driven inflation fears
Benchmark 10-year Bund yields hit their highest level since early August as surging energy prices fuel concerns over persistent inflation in Europe.
Decades of farm gains, inventories cushion food system against strong El Niño
Global agricultural stockpiles and productivity gains may mitigate risks from a potential 'super' El Niño event, analysts say.
Crypto Markets Decline as Oil Rally Sparks Inflation Concerns
Ether and XRP led digital asset losses while bitcoin remained below $65,000 ahead of upcoming U.S. inflation data.
Australia's Central Bank Sees Inflation Cooling Faster Amid Upward Risks
The Reserve Bank of Australia notes a slightly faster deceleration in inflation, though persistent upside risks remain.
Norway's Core Inflation Holds Steady at 2.7% in July
Norway's core consumer price inflation remained unchanged at 2.7% in July, according to official economic data.
China's Consumer Inflation Eases to Six-Month Low in July
China's consumer price index slowed to a six-month low, increasing pressure on authorities to introduce further policy easing measures.
Gold Reaches 10-Week High on Strong Chinese Demand and Bullish Momentum
Gold prices advanced to a ten-week high, supported by robust demand from China and rising market momentum.
U.S. GDP Growth Slows in Q2 as Price Pressures Weigh on Markets
Gross domestic product expanded at a more modest pace in the second quarter, while persistent inflation metrics continue to unsettle financial markets.
Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady Amid Internal Divisions on Inflation
U.S. central bank officials kept interest rates unchanged while showing growing divisions over how to address persistent inflation pressures.
Bond Yields Remain Elevated as Federal Reserve Inflation Guidance Lacks
Government bond yields stayed high amid ongoing concerns regarding the Federal Reserve's strategy to contain inflation.
Fed Focus Remains on Inflation Following Five Years Above Target
Federal Reserve officials remain primarily focused on inflation trends after five years of overshooting the central bank's 2 percent target.
Reckitt Benckiser Expects £175M Hit from Russian Business Exit
Consumer goods firm Reckitt Benckiser reports a £175m financial impact from selling its Russian operations to Arnest Management amid wider Western corporate withdrawals.
EY Warns UK Faces Recession Risk as Middle East Conflict Drives Up Energy Prices
EY has warned that the UK economy could slip into a recession if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, as surging oil and gas prices threaten to stoke inflation.
UK and Eurozone Construction Downturn Eases as Economic Conditions Improve
Lloyds reports rising confidence in the construction sector as the downturn slows, though firms await broader economic movement.
ECB's Lane Outlines Outlook for Euro Area Economy
European Central Bank official Philip R. Lane addresses the economic outlook for the euro area.
Bitcoin Price Stalls Below $65K as US PMI Data Stokes Stagflation Fears
Bitcoin traded in a tight range below $65,000, diverging from equities and gold as fresh US purchasing managers' index data fueled concerns over potential stagflation.
ECB wage tracker shows 2.7% growth in Q1 2027, signaling stable wage pressures
The European Central Bank's wage tracker indicated negotiated wage growth of 2.7% year‑on‑year in the first quarter of 2027, suggesting that wage pressures remain stable.
