Inflation Data
Swiss SMI edges up 0.12% as Roche, Novartis weigh on blue chips
Amrize and Holcim lead gains in the SMI, while Stadler Rail surges 22% on strong half-year results. US PCE inflation ticks up to 3.7%, lifting September Fed hike odds to 40%.
German growth surprise, cheaper oil lift European stocks
DAX gains nearly 1% as GDP beats expectations; Brent and WTI oil drop 3% on easing Iran tensions. Siemens Energy shares rise on unit spin-off plans.
U.S. core PCE inflation holds at 3.3% in July, matching forecasts
Analysts see sticky services inflation as a key risk, with Fed policy focus shifting to Jackson Hole and September FOMC meeting. Consumer spending growth adjusted for inflation flat.
Germany posts stronger-than-expected Q2 growth, Q2 deficit hits record €71.3bn
German GDP rose 0.3% in Q2, beating prior estimates, while the state deficit widened to €71.3bn in H1 due to defense and infrastructure spending. Analysts warn of rising debt costs amid weak tax revenues.
Why the Dollar’s Upcoming PCE Test Could Unsettle the Yield Curve—and What It Means for Euro‑Dollar
As core PCE looms, a retreat in long‑dated yields signals a fragile dollar rally; I argue the data will reshape expectations for Fed policy and the EUR/USD trajectory.
Brazil's jobless rate falls to 5.3% as employment hits record high
Unemployment in the three months to July dropped to 5.3%, the lowest since 2012, while the number of employed reached a record 103.3 million, IBGE data shows.
Swiss SMI dips 1% as Nestlé, Novartis, Roche weigh; Gurit surges 10%
Heavyweights drag Switzerland’s blue-chip index lower while Gurit jumps on strong earnings. Investors eye Jackson Hole for Fed clues amid elevated inflation and geopolitical risks.
European stocks edge lower as AI demand optimism fades
European equities slipped after Nvidia's strong results as investors reassessed AI hardware demand and macro headwinds weighed on broader markets. German consumer sentiment improved slightly ahead of September.
Global economic calendar: Key events for Aug 27, 2026
Earnings season continues with German, French and U.S. companies reporting quarterly figures while central bank data and labor indicators take center stage in Europe and the U.S.
European stocks edge up as Geberit surges on earnings
DAX flat at 26,126 as chip stocks lag; Geberit jumps 8.4% on Q2 beat; ten-year Bund yields hit 11-year high of 3.25%.
UBS-CFA indicator rises but uncertainty over Swiss economy grows
Swiss economic sentiment improves for second month, yet expectations diverge sharply; U.S. outlook darkens while SNB seen holding rates at zero. Euro seen above 0.90 CHF with 79% probability.
German stocks little changed as oil slide offsets SAP losses
DAX holds near record levels ahead of U.S. inflation data and Nvidia earnings; SAP drops on UBS downgrade as oil rout eases inflation concerns.
Swiss real estate risk index falls to lowest in three years, Moneypark says
Moneypark's Real Estate Risk Index dropped to 3.5 points in Q2 2026, driven by stronger PMI, low SNB rates and a slowdown in real price growth, though unemployment and migration weakness remain risks.
Germany's budget deficit hits 3.1% of GDP in H1, breaches EU limit
Deficit surges to €71.3 billion as federal shortfall widens by €29 billion year-on-year, driven by defense spending and subsidies. Rising borrowing costs compound fiscal strain.
Europe’s equity rally may persist on cheaper oil, fiscal boost
Euro Stoxx 50 gains of 8% in three months and Citi’s 8% upside target to mid-2027 support the case for further gains. Fiscal easing and lower oil prices are cited as key tailwinds.
Truflation forecasts July core PCE at 0.2% MoM, Fed seen on hold through 2026
U.S. core inflation expected to rise 0.2% month-over-month in July, while Truflation projects the Federal Reserve will forgo rate hikes for the remainder of the year amid mixed economic signals.
DAX holds above 26,000 as investors await Nvidia and Fed cues
German blue-chip index steadies near 26,134 points after Friday’s rebound, but faces resistance toward record highs amid key macro and earnings events this week. Semiconductor and auto shares lag while materials gain.
EUR/USD hits 1.1700, highest since May, as dollar weakens
Euro gains ground on improving eurozone data and US Treasury bond buyback expansion, while technical levels suggest limited upside ahead of key US economic releases this week.
UK growth outlook steady despite inflation uptick, Barclays says
Flash PMI data signals resilient activity in August, but inflation pressures and fiscal slippage weigh on outlook. Barclays lifts 2027 inflation forecast.
UK growth holds despite inflation pressures, Barclays says
Composite PMI rises to 52.5 in August as services lead; Barclays lifts 2027 inflation forecast to 2.5%.
German DAX slips as investors await Nvidia results, Fed signals
The German blue-chip index fell 0.26% in early trade, testing support above 26,000 as chipmakers and automakers lagged. Markets brace for Nvidia earnings and Jackson Hole policy signals.
Six EU countries push for September talks on taxing oil firms' windfall profits
Germany, Spain, Italy and three others urge EU finance ministers to address surging energy costs with a targeted windfall tax framework ahead of September meeting in Dublin.
DAX seen lower as investors eye Nvidia earnings, Iran sanctions and Jackson Hole
German blue-chip index expected to slip 0.2% at open as geopolitical risks and key U.S. events weigh on sentiment. Support at 26,000 and 21-day line in focus.
Turkey’s central bank to restart one-week repo auctions
The Turkish central bank will resume weekly repo operations at its 37% policy rate, ending a suspension tied to inflation risks from regional conflict. Governor Fatih Karahan said conditions had improved.