Les économistes suisses ont augmenté leur prévision de croissance pour 2026 et 2027 à 1,7 %.

The Swiss economists have significantly revised upwards their forecasts for Swiss economic growth, reaching a new consensus value of 1.7% for real GDP (adjusted for seasonality and calendar effects) in 2026. This corresponds to an increase compared to the last estimate made in June, which stood at +0.9%. The forecast for 2027 has also been raised: the consensus value for GDP growth is now +1.7% (June: +1.5%). The survey of 17 economists conducted from September 3 to 23, 2026 also shows a clear shift in expectations towards stronger investment. Real investment is expected to increase by 1.5% in 2026 (June: +0.9%) and 2.2% in 2027 (June: +1.8%). Building investment in particular is benefiting from this dynamism: it is forecast to increase by 2.4% in 2026 (June: +1.2%) and by 1.9% in 2027 (June: +1.6%). These expectations are based on increased investment activity as a driver of economic growth. Although inflation scenarios are slightly more optimistic, the forecast for the consumer price index (CPI) remains moderate: a 0.6% increase is forecast for 2026 (June: +0.7%) and a 0.8% increase for 2027 (June: +0.9%). The labour market, however, remains stable, with an unemployment rate of 3.1% for 2026 and 3.0% for 2027. Expectations for the Swiss franc exchange rate show only slight fluctuations: in three months, a rate of around 0.93 CHF/Euro is expected, in twelve months it is 0.92 CHF/Euro. As for the US dollar, a slight decline to 0.81 CHF/USD is forecast for three months and 0.80 CHF/USD for twelve months.