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Macro

Brazil's 2027 budget projects primary surplus of 0.1% of GDP
MacroArticle

Brazil's 2027 budget projects primary surplus of 0.1% of GDP

Draft budget targets a 0.1% primary surplus next year, below the 0.5% target but within the allowed tolerance range. Minister Moretti confirmed the projection in an interview.

Elena Kovač · 2 Sept 2026
U.S. ISM manufacturing index falls to 54.6 in August as new orders weaken
MacroArticle

U.S. ISM manufacturing index falls to 54.6 in August as new orders weaken

U.S. factory activity slowed more than expected last month, with the ISM index dropping to 54.6 from 55.6 in July. New orders and employment both declined, while prices paid remained steady.

Elena Kovač · 2 Sept 2026
U.S. job openings fall short of forecasts in July JOLTS report
MacroArticle

U.S. job openings fall short of forecasts in July JOLTS report

U.S. job openings declined to 7.27 million in July, below the 7.33 million expected and down from a revised 7.18 million in June, signaling a cooling labor market.

Elena Kovač · 2 Sept 2026
U.S. factory activity slows in August as input costs remain elevated
MacroArticle

U.S. factory activity slows in August as input costs remain elevated

ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 54.6 from 55.6 in July, while input prices held at 71.1, signaling persistent inflation pressures despite easing demand.

Elena Kovač · 2 Sept 2026
U.S. job openings rise in July as June data revised lower
MacroArticle

U.S. job openings rise in July as June data revised lower

Openings increased by 89,000 to 7.27 million, while June figures were cut to 7.18 million. Manufacturing sector saw a 79,000 rise in unfilled positions.

Elena Kovač · 2 Sept 2026
G20 backs measures to curb trade surplus distortions, excluding China
MacroArticle

G20 backs measures to curb trade surplus distortions, excluding China

Ministers agree to eliminate non-market policies worsening imbalances, while China opposes key clauses. Meeting held in Asheville, North Carolina.

Elena Kovač · 2 Sept 2026
Euro zone lending growth accelerates in July, ECB data shows
MacroArticle

Euro zone lending growth accelerates in July, ECB data shows

Corporate loan growth rose to 4.4% annually while household lending increased to 3.1%, signaling modest expansion in credit demand after the ECB's June rate hike.

Elena Kovač · 1 Sept 2026
UK entry-level jobs plummet 36% as AI, automation reshape labor market
MacroArticle

UK entry-level jobs plummet 36% as AI, automation reshape labor market

Survey finds nearly half of large UK firms cut entry roles last year, citing AI and automation; youth unemployment hits decade high. Government warned of 'lost generation' risk.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
India report warns higher food inflation may curb non‑food spending
MacroArticle

India report warns higher food inflation may curb non‑food spending

The government's August monthly economic report says rising food prices could limit household expenditure on discretionary items, while noting uncertainty from an intensifying El Niño and monitoring bond‑market risks.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
Brazil's gross debt rises to 82.5% of GDP in July
MacroArticle

Brazil's gross debt rises to 82.5% of GDP in July

Gross public debt increased to 82.5% of GDP in July from 81.9% in June, exceeding market expectations. Primary surplus fell short of forecasts amid state deficits.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
Greece's unemployment falls to 7.9% in July, ELSTAT reports
MacroArticle

Greece's unemployment falls to 7.9% in July, ELSTAT reports

ELSTAT said the seasonally adjusted jobless rate dropped to 7.9% in July from 8.1% in June, with 376,508 people unemployed. Female unemployment stood at 10.4%, male at 5.9%.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
Czech government targets 2027 deficit of 389 billion crowns
MacroArticle

Czech government targets 2027 deficit of 389 billion crowns

Finance Minister Alena Schillerova said the 2027 central government budget will run a 389 billion‑crown deficit, up from 310 billion crowns planned for this year, while meeting NATO's 2% defence spending floor.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
India's April-July fiscal deficit narrows to $47.8 billion
MacroArticle

India's April-July fiscal deficit narrows to $47.8 billion

Shortfall at 4.55 trillion rupees, or 26.8% of annual target, as revenue rises and spending increases. Deficit target remains 4.3% of GDP for FY27.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
India's April-July fiscal deficit at 26.8% of FY27 target
MacroArticle

India's April-July fiscal deficit at 26.8% of FY27 target

Deficit widens to 4.55 trillion rupees in the first four months of the fiscal year, driven by higher capital spending. Target for full year remains 4.3% of GDP.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
U.S. Treasury urges G20 to rethink ties with China, escalate pressure on Iran
MacroArticle

U.S. Treasury urges G20 to rethink ties with China, escalate pressure on Iran

Finance chief Scott Bessent calls for G20 review of China’s $1.2 trillion trade surplus and $73.9 billion U.S. deficit, as Washington steps up tariffs and prepares talks with Beijing. New Iran sanctions to target banks weekly.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
Qatar’s economy contracts 7% in first quarter amid energy decline
MacroArticle

Qatar’s economy contracts 7% in first quarter amid energy decline

The contraction marks the first decline in over a decade as energy sector output falls.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
Brazil runoff poll shows Lula, Bolsonaro in technical tie
MacroArticle

Brazil runoff poll shows Lula, Bolsonaro in technical tie

Latest survey puts President Lula at 46% and Bolsonaro at 45% ahead of October election, within margin of error for second-round runoff.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
Polymarket prepares for misconduct scrutiny ahead of US midterms
MacroArticle

Polymarket prepares for misconduct scrutiny ahead of US midterms

The intelligence chief highlights potential integrity risks for prediction markets as the US midterm elections approach.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
China's manufacturing PMI edges up but services slump signals uneven recovery
MacroArticle

China's manufacturing PMI edges up but services slump signals uneven recovery

Official factory activity improved slightly in August, yet a persistent decline in services underscores weak domestic demand and a patchy rebound in the world's second-largest economy.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
Canada's Q2 current account surplus surges to record C$8.84 billion
MacroArticle

Canada's Q2 current account surplus surges to record C$8.84 billion

Surplus of C$8.84 billion far exceeds economist forecasts of C$3.9 billion, driven by energy exports amid elevated oil prices. Foreign bond holdings hit a record C$80.8 billion.

Elena Kovač · 31 Aug 2026
IMF chief says global economy holding up to energy shock, flags fiscal risks
MacroArticle

IMF chief says global economy holding up to energy shock, flags fiscal risks

Kristalina Georgieva warns of a 'tug of war' between energy supply disruptions and AI-driven growth, as fiscal pressures mount ahead of G20 talks.

Elena Kovač · 30 Aug 2026
IMF warns global economy faces persistent energy risks amid fiscal strains
MacroArticle

IMF warns global economy faces persistent energy risks amid fiscal strains

Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva says the world economy has weathered recent energy disruptions better than expected, but warns of lingering inflation risks and rising fiscal pressures ahead of the G20 meeting.

Elena Kovač · 30 Aug 2026
IMF says global economy weathered Iran-linked energy shock better than feared
MacroArticle

IMF says global economy weathered Iran-linked energy shock better than feared

Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva cites drawdowns in oil and gas reserves, AI-driven growth and lower energy demand as key buffers against the Strait of Hormuz closure. Risks remain tilted to the downside.

Elena Kovač · 30 Aug 2026
U.S. economic data dump Wednesday: GDP, durable goods and oil inventories in focus
MacroArticle

U.S. economic data dump Wednesday: GDP, durable goods and oil inventories in focus

GDP growth, durable goods orders and EIA crude stockpiles headline a busy U.S. data calendar. Markets await signals on inflation and economic momentum.

Elena Kovač · 30 Aug 2026