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Macro

Europe's sovereign yields diverge as France and Germany face higher deficits
MacroArticle

Europe's sovereign yields diverge as France and Germany face higher deficits

Ten‑year bond yields in France and Germany are nearing 2007 highs, while Spain and Italy remain below 2023 peaks, reflecting differing fiscal outlooks across the euro area.

Elena Kovač · 6 Sept 2026
Iran security chief denies alleged plot to assassinate Barron Trump
MacroArticle

Iran security chief denies alleged plot to assassinate Barron Trump

Iran's security chief Mohsen Rezaei rejected claims of a plan to kill President Donald Trump's youngest son, while also outlining Tehran's conditions for opening the Strait of Hormuz.

Elena Kovač · 4 Sept 2026
Moody's downgrades Senegal to Caa2 as default risk rises
MacroArticle

Moody's downgrades Senegal to Caa2 as default risk rises

Moody's cuts Senegal's long‑term foreign and local currency ratings to Caa2, keeps a negative outlook and lowers country ceilings amid rising financing needs and fiscal strain.

Elena Kovač · 4 Sept 2026
UK Debt Management Office to auction £5bn of 4⅝% Treasury Gilt 2030 on Sep 10
MacroArticle

UK Debt Management Office to auction £5bn of 4⅝% Treasury Gilt 2030 on Sep 10

The UK DMO will sell £5bn of 4⅝% Treasury Gilt 2030 in a one‑hour auction on Sep 10, with settlement on Sep 11 and a post‑auction option for up to 25% additional allocation.

Elena Kovač · 4 Sept 2026
Putin says Russia’s budget deficit remains manageable despite 40% rise
MacroArticle

Putin says Russia’s budget deficit remains manageable despite 40% rise

Russian president cites low debt levels as justification for deficit expansion to 2.8% of GDP in January-July, despite war-related spending pressures.

Elena Kovač · 4 Sept 2026
U.S. labor data, yen surge and oil steadiness in focus
MacroArticle

U.S. labor data, yen surge and oil steadiness in focus

Markets await Friday's jobs report as yen strengthens on intervention bets and oil prices stabilize after natural gas surges. Broadcom shares slip on cautious outlook despite earnings beat.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
U.S. trade deficit widens 24.4% in July to $88.6 bln
MacroArticle

U.S. trade deficit widens 24.4% in July to $88.6 bln

Goods trade deficit climbs 17.3% as imports surge to record $140.3 bln in capital goods. Oil and industrial supplies weigh on exports.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
U.S. trade deficit widens to $88.6 billion in July as capital goods imports surge
MacroArticle

U.S. trade deficit widens to $88.6 billion in July as capital goods imports surge

The U.S. trade gap expanded by 24.4% last month, driven by a record $140.3 billion in capital goods imports. The deficit subtracted 1.14 percentage points from Q2 GDP growth.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
U.S. services sector growth accelerates as ISM non-manufacturing PMI beats forecasts
MacroArticle

U.S. services sector growth accelerates as ISM non-manufacturing PMI beats forecasts

ISM non-manufacturing PMI rose to 55.4 in August, exceeding expectations and signaling expansion in the U.S. services sector for the 12th straight month.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
U.S. services sector activity rises to 55.4 in August as demand strengthens
MacroArticle

U.S. services sector activity rises to 55.4 in August as demand strengthens

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI climbs to highest since February 2023, led by new orders surge; Fed rate hike odds rise ahead of September meeting.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
Brazil services activity rebounds in August as PMI rises above 50
MacroArticle

Brazil services activity rebounds in August as PMI rises above 50

Brazil's services sector returned to growth in August, with the PMI climbing to 50.5 from 49.7 in July, offsetting continued weakness in manufacturing. Employment remained flat after prior declines.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
Canada's trade surplus shrinks to C$769 mln in July as exports drop
MacroArticle

Canada's trade surplus shrinks to C$769 mln in July as exports drop

Exports fell 2.3% in the first decline since January, while imports rose 2.2%, pushing the surplus to its lowest level in five months. Energy and metals led the decline.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
Senegal transfers funds for 2048 bond coupon amid IMF deal
MacroArticle

Senegal transfers funds for 2048 bond coupon amid IMF deal

Government initiates payment for century-long dollar bond as IMF approves $2.2 billion loan package. Bond prices rise on announcement.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
U.S. services PMI slips to 56.5, misses forecast as growth slows
MacroArticle

U.S. services PMI slips to 56.5, misses forecast as growth slows

The ISM services index fell short of expectations in September, with the PMI declining to 56.5 from 54.6 a month earlier. A reading above 50 still signals expansion.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
Magnitude 5 earthquake strikes Tibet: GFZ
MacroArticle

Magnitude 5 earthquake strikes Tibet: GFZ

A 5.0-magnitude quake hit the Tibetan plateau Thursday, the German Research Centre for Geosciences reported. No immediate damage or casualties were cited.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
Canada’s services PMI falls to six-month low amid trade tensions
MacroArticle

Canada’s services PMI falls to six-month low amid trade tensions

The decline in Canada’s services PMI reflects growing trade-related pressures, though further details were not immediately available.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
Eurozone business activity growth slows in August as services PMI falls
MacroArticle

Eurozone business activity growth slows in August as services PMI falls

Eurozone composite PMI held near long-term average at 52.0 in August, while services activity slipped to a two-month low of 51.6. Export orders rose for the first time in 4.5 years, led by manufacturing demand.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
India’s GDP growth of 7.8% sparks skepticism over methodology
MacroArticle

India’s GDP growth of 7.8% sparks skepticism over methodology

Analysts question the robustness of India’s latest quarterly growth figure amid concerns over data revisions and deflator assumptions. High-frequency indicators show mixed signals.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
UK services growth accelerates in August as cost pressures rise
MacroArticle

UK services growth accelerates in August as cost pressures rise

S&P Global PMI shows services activity at its strongest since April, but firms report intensifying price pressures amid Middle East energy risks. Composite index also climbs to five-month high.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
Germany's services sector contracts in August as costs weigh
MacroArticle

Germany's services sector contracts in August as costs weigh

S&P Global PMI shows slight decline to 49.7, while composite measure rises to 51.8 amid mixed signals in demand and hiring. Cost pressures remain a key constraint.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
Italy's services PMI hits 3.5-year high, composite growth accelerates
MacroArticle

Italy's services PMI hits 3.5-year high, composite growth accelerates

Italy's services sector expanded at the fastest pace since April 2023 in August, with the composite PMI rising to its second-highest level in over three years, driven by domestic demand and new business growth.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
France services activity contracts faster in August amid weak demand
MacroArticle

France services activity contracts faster in August amid weak demand

The latest data indicates a sharper decline in French services sector activity during August.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
Germany's services PMI edges up as sector nears stabilization
MacroArticle

Germany's services PMI edges up as sector nears stabilization

Services activity contracted marginally in August, but new business and employment showed improvement, while composite output rose to a five-month high. Input price pressures accelerated.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026
Eurozone business activity steady in August as services slow
MacroArticle

Eurozone business activity steady in August as services slow

Eurozone composite PMI held at 52.0 in August, matching July’s eight-month high, while services activity slipped to a two-month low. Germany led regional growth, France remained in contraction.

Elena Kovač · 3 Sept 2026