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Markets desk·updated through the day

Macro

The big picture for Switzerland and the euro area: growth, trade, labour markets and the policy debates behind them.

French Bond Sell-Off Revives Euro Crisis Fears as Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs
MacroArticle

French Bond Sell-Off Revives Euro Crisis Fears as Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs

France's soaring borrowing costs and a proposed budget of €43 billion in cuts and tax hikes have sparked severe market turmoil, driving the Franco-German yield spread to its widest level since 2012.

Markets Desk · 2 Oct 2026
Swiss analysts anticipate higher inflation and rates while keeping growth outlook positive
MacroArticle

Swiss analysts anticipate higher inflation and rates while keeping growth outlook positive

A UBS-CFA survey shows a sharp shift in expectations for Swiss inflation and interest rates in September, yet analysts remain upbeat on medium‑term growth and equities.

Markets Desk · 30 Sept 2026
SNB Holds Rates at 0% Amid Rising Inflation and Global Uncertainty
MacroArticle

SNB Holds Rates at 0% Amid Rising Inflation and Global Uncertainty

Swiss National Bank leaves policy rate unchanged at 0% while noting elevated inflation pressures and geopolitical risks.

Markets Desk · 24 Sept 2026
Euro area sovereign yields rise as French debt risk spikes
MacroArticle

Euro area sovereign yields rise as French debt risk spikes

French OAT yields hit 4.5% and CDS spreads surge to 2020 highs, while German yields stay near 3.2% after the ECB lifted rates to 2.5%, raising concerns over euro‑zone fiscal health.

Markets Desk · 22 Sept 2026
FTSE 100 edges higher as UK borrowing data heightens Budget pressure
MacroArticle

FTSE 100 edges higher as UK borrowing data heightens Budget pressure

Sterling stabilizes and equities edge up as August public sector borrowing hits a record £18.3 billion, compressing Chancellor John Healey’s fiscal headroom ahead of the October Budget.

Markets Desk · 22 Sept 2026
Euro Yields Hold Multi-Year Peaks as Crude Surges Ahead of Central Bank Decisions
MacroArticle

Euro Yields Hold Multi-Year Peaks as Crude Surges Ahead of Central Bank Decisions

German bunds stay near 13-year highs as Brent crude jumps to $112 a barrel on Middle East tensions, with Fed and ECB policymakers bracing for fresh inflationary pressure.

Markets Desk · 21 Sept 2026
Swiss Economic Calendar: SNB Policy Update, Federal Votes, Roche Pharma Day This Week
MacroArticle

Swiss Economic Calendar: SNB Policy Update, Federal Votes, Roche Pharma Day This Week

The Swiss National Bank will release its balance of payments and monetary policy assessment this week, alongside federal votes on Sep 27 and earnings from firms including Hilti, Hilti and Roche.

Markets Desk · 21 Sept 2026
SMI Expected Higher After Tuesday Loss; Markets Await Fed Rate Call
MacroArticle

SMI Expected Higher After Tuesday Loss; Markets Await Fed Rate Call

The Swiss Market Index opens in positive territory ahead of a widely expected 25-basis-point rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, while oil retreats and crypto stocks stumble on regulatory headlines.

Markets Desk · 20 Sept 2026
Swiss asking rents fall for first time in five years
MacroArticle

Swiss asking rents fall for first time in five years

Newhome data shows a 1.7% drop in national listing prices from July 2025 to July 2026, led by sharp declines in Ticino and Zurich.

Markets Desk · 20 Sept 2026
SMI Expected Lower as Oil Above $100 Weighs on Global Markets
MacroArticle

SMI Expected Lower as Oil Above $100 Weighs on Global Markets

Swiss index slides amid rising oil, inflation fears; Meta surges on AI launch while Asian stocks dip.

Markets Desk · 19 Sept 2026
Swiss Economic Calendar: Sep 10–17 Covers Earnings, Inflation Data and Policy Meetings
MacroArticle

Swiss Economic Calendar: Sep 10–17 Covers Earnings, Inflation Data and Policy Meetings

Switzerland's key economic releases include BFS inflation figures, Repower and Helvetia Baloise half-year results, OECD country report, and UBS banking-law testimony before the Council of States.

Markets Desk · 19 Sept 2026
Switzerland Raises 2026 GDP Growth Forecast to 1.7% as Franc Weakness Helps
MacroArticle

Switzerland Raises 2026 GDP Growth Forecast to 1.7% as Franc Weakness Helps

SECO lifts 2026 growth projection to 1.7% from 0.9%, citing stronger-than-expected Q2 data and a weaker franc boosting exports.

Markets Desk · 17 Sept 2026
Swiss Economic Calendar: SNB Policy Readings, Corporate Earnings Key This Week
MacroArticle

Swiss Economic Calendar: SNB Policy Readings, Corporate Earnings Key This Week

Switzerland's economic and corporate calendar features SNB assessments, major results, and strategy launches across banking, real estate and industrials.

Markets Desk · 17 Sept 2026
Macro calendar: ZEW, ADP, Empire State among key data releases Monday
MacroArticle

Macro calendar: ZEW, ADP, Empire State among key data releases Monday

The German ZEW survey, UK jobs data, French consumer prices, and US ADP and Empire State manufacturing reports round out the Monday schedule.

Markets Desk · 15 Sept 2026
Swiss Economic Calendar: Data Releases, Earnings Due Sept 15-22
MacroArticle

Swiss Economic Calendar: Data Releases, Earnings Due Sept 15-22

Switzerland’s weekly financial calendar features Austrian and Swiss inflation data, SNB balance-of-payments figures, and H1 earnings from Addex, Curatis, Newron and others.

Markets Desk · 15 Sept 2026
Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank Offer Credit Baskets on French Election Outcome
MacroArticle

Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank Offer Credit Baskets on French Election Outcome

Banks are marketing AT1 bond baskets and total-return swaps tied to France's April presidential vote, as political risk and a budget deficit above 5% weigh on French credit spreads.

Markets Desk · 13 Sept 2026
Germany to Deploy Anti‑Sabotage Shield After Failed Drone Attack
MacroArticle

Germany to Deploy Anti‑Sabotage Shield After Failed Drone Attack

Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt announced a package of police, cyber and AI measures to protect airports, transport hubs and critical infrastructure from drone and sabotage threats.

Markets Desk · 6 Sept 2026
Europe's sovereign yields diverge as France and Germany face higher deficits
MacroArticle

Europe's sovereign yields diverge as France and Germany face higher deficits

Ten‑year bond yields in France and Germany are nearing 2007 highs, while Spain and Italy remain below 2023 peaks, reflecting differing fiscal outlooks across the euro area.

Markets Desk · 6 Sept 2026
Eurozone business activity steady in August as services slow
MacroArticle

Eurozone business activity steady in August as services slow

Eurozone composite PMI held at 52.0 in August, matching July’s eight-month high, while services activity slipped to a two-month low. Germany led regional growth, France remained in contraction.

Markets Desk · 3 Sept 2026
German economy seen on cusp of growth rebound through 2028
MacroArticle

German economy seen on cusp of growth rebound through 2028

DIW and Bundesbank raise 2026 GDP forecasts to 1.2% and 1.0% respectively, citing stronger exports and reduced energy shock impact. Fragile recovery hinges on public spending as private investment lags.

Markets Desk · 2 Sept 2026
Six EU net contributors push for deep cuts to €2 trillion budget plan
MacroArticle

Six EU net contributors push for deep cuts to €2 trillion budget plan

Germany, Austria and four other net contributors demand reductions of several hundred billion euros to the EU's 2028-2034 budget, citing national consolidation needs and rejecting further joint borrowing.

Markets Desk · 2 Sept 2026
Swiss economic calendar: Aug 25–Sep 1, 2026
MacroArticle

Swiss economic calendar: Aug 25–Sep 1, 2026

Half-year earnings reports from Swiss companies alongside key macroeconomic data releases and industry events next week.

Markets Desk · 28 Aug 2026
Germany posts stronger-than-expected Q2 growth, Q2 deficit hits record €71.3bn
MacroArticle

Germany posts stronger-than-expected Q2 growth, Q2 deficit hits record €71.3bn

German GDP rose 0.3% in Q2, beating prior estimates, while the state deficit widened to €71.3bn in H1 due to defense and infrastructure spending. Analysts warn of rising debt costs amid weak tax revenues.

Markets Desk · 28 Aug 2026
Brazil's jobless rate falls to 5.3% as employment hits record high
MacroArticle

Brazil's jobless rate falls to 5.3% as employment hits record high

Unemployment in the three months to July dropped to 5.3%, the lowest since 2012, while the number of employed reached a record 103.3 million, IBGE data shows.

Markets Desk · 27 Aug 2026