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Moldova lowers 2026 GDP growth forecast to 1.8%

Government revises outlook amid fiscal constraints and external headwinds. Previous estimate stood at 4.5%.

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Elena Kovač · Central Banks Desk · 17 Aug 2026 · 1 min read
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Moldova lowers 2026 GDP growth forecast to 1.8%

Moldova’s government reduced its 2026 gross domestic product growth forecast to 1.8% from an earlier projection of 4.5%, citing tighter fiscal conditions and weaker external demand.

The adjustment reflects broader economic challenges, including reduced remittances and slower investment flows, according to a statement from the Ministry of Economy and Infrastructure. The revision follows a 2025 growth estimate of 3.5%, which remains unchanged.

Officials attributed the downgrade to persistent fiscal pressures and a less favorable global trade environment. Moldova’s economy has struggled with high public debt levels and reliance on agricultural exports, which remain vulnerable to price volatility and geopolitical risks.

The government did not specify whether additional policy measures would be introduced to support growth. Analysts have warned that prolonged fiscal constraints could further dampen domestic consumption and business investment.

This article was produced with AI assistance and edited by a Finance Review Daily journalist.
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Written by
Elena Kovač
Central Banks Desk

Elena covers macroeconomic data and policy across the eurozone, translating industrial output, inflation and growth figures into what they mean for markets.

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