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Economy/MacroArticle

Brazil to keep fiscal framework if Lula wins second term

Finance Minister Dario Durigan says spending controls and revenue recovery will continue under current framework if President Lula da Silva secures reelection in October. Central bank holds rates at 14%.

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Elena Kovač · Central Banks Desk · 22 Aug 2026 · 01:37 · 1 min read
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Brazil to keep fiscal framework if Lula wins second term

Brazil’s government will maintain its fiscal framework through spending controls and revenue recovery if President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva wins reelection in October, Finance Minister Dario Durigan said on Thursday.

The administration has already implemented a fiscal effort equivalent to 2% of GDP and is prepared to match that magnitude in the next term. Durigan highlighted ongoing institutional dialogue with Congress as the driver of adjustments, including mandatory spending cuts of around 10 billion reais ($1.9 billion) scheduled for 2027.

Separately, Brazil’s central bank reduced its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points for a fourth consecutive meeting, bringing the Selic rate to 14.00%. The bank left its next policy steps open, signaling continued caution amid fiscal and inflation dynamics.

Durigan emphasized the need to sustain spending reductions and broaden the revenue base in a manner balanced for the population, aiming for a positive fiscal outcome as early as next year. The government’s approach combines expenditure restraint with efforts to restore revenue streams, reinforcing the current fiscal framework regardless of electoral outcomes.

This article was produced with AI assistance and edited by a Finance Review Daily journalist.
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Written by
Elena Kovač
Central Banks Desk

Elena covers macroeconomic data and policy across the eurozone, translating industrial output, inflation and growth figures into what they mean for markets.

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