Federal Reserve
Dollar hits two-month high as Swiss franc, yen weaken on hawkish Fed outlook
The dollar rose 0.14% to 101.27 for a fourth straight daily advance, pressing the franc to its lowest level since May 2025, as Fed officials opened the door to further rate increases.
Bitcoin’s Long-Term Insulation from Rising Bond Yields Persists, Data Shows
Despite global bond yields climbing over 500 basis points since 2021, Bitcoin’s price has surged 191%, with minimal correlation to yield movements.
Swiss Central Bank May Raise Rates as Inflation Outlook Improves: Swiss Life
Chief economist Marc Brütsch says the SNB could lift its policy rate from zero, while jobless recovery and AI-driven labor shifts shape the economic outlook.
Euro falls to $1.145 as oil rises and German political turmoil weighs
The euro slipped to $1.145, its lowest since late July, amid higher Brent crude prices and mounting political risk after the CDU’s defeats in German state elections.
Eurozone yields near decade highs amid Brent crude surge and ECB-Fed watch
U.S. Treasury yields hover just below 5% as Brent crude climbs 3% ahead of ECB and Fed rate decisions.
European stocks retreat on AI safety concerns, Fed rate bets dampen gains
European indices decline as AI sector stocks falter amid regulatory uncertainty, while oil prices rise on geopolitical tensions and Fed rate hike expectations weigh on risk appetite.
SMI opens higher; Fed rate-hike odds near 93% as traders wait for Wednesday decision
The Swiss benchmark rose 0.1% to 13,815.84 as ABB led gainers. Investors stayed cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision, where a 25-bp hike is priced in at over 90%.
US Stocks Slide as Inflation Fears Mount; Oil Surges Past $100 a Barrel
Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 all fell Thursday as hotter-than-expected producer prices stoked fears of further Fed rate hikes. WTI crude reclaimed $100 for the first time since May.
SMI Expected Higher After Tuesday Loss; Markets Await Fed Rate Call
The Swiss Market Index opens in positive territory ahead of a widely expected 25-basis-point rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, while oil retreats and crypto stocks stumble on regulatory headlines.
Swiss and US markets rise on Fed independence, Logitech leads SMI
Swiss indices closed higher on Thursday, with Logitech leading gains, while US markets benefited from falling oil prices and the Fed’s commitment to inflation control.
Swiss Market Open Under Pressure as US Futures, Oil Rise and FX Shifts Dominate
Asian markets and Swiss equities face headwinds from rising Brent crude, US futures declines and expectations of Fed rate hikes.
Central banks face tricky calls as energy prices complicate inflation outlook
The ECB expects a September rate hike, but Fed policymakers are split on further moves, while the SNB sees room to hold steady.
US stocks open higher; SMI extends gains as Fed decision calms markets
Wall Street leads gainers after the Fed raised rates 25 basis points. The SMI climbs, tech stocks surge pre-market, and UBS capital-rule debate is deferred.
ECB, Fed, SNB Face Divergent Rate Paths as Energy Prices Complicate Outlook
Central banks navigate diverging inflation pressures and growth signals ahead of key September meetings in Frankfurt, Washington, and Bern.
Frankfurt stocks extend rally on Fed rate hike and lower oil
DAX climbs 1% to 25,800 as Fed's first rate increase since 2023 calms markets and Brent crude continues to fall.
SMI in Red, 8 of 20 Blue Chips Gain; Nestlé Loses After Russia Report; Gold Rises
Swiss stock market closes lower after a positive week; gold prices increase amid rising interest rates; Nestlé shares fall after Russia business report.
SMI Gains as Fed Rate Hike Brings Relief; UBS Decision Deferred
Swiss shares post modest gains after the US Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points as expected. UBS capital-rule debate resumes next week.
SMI rises 0.2% as Fed delivers; UBS gains, Rieter plunges after downgrade
The Swiss market extends its early-week gains following the Fed's expected 25-bp hike. Helvetia Baloise surges on strong H1 results while Rieter drops after a UBS downgrade to Sell.
SMI Edges Higher on Fed Relief; UBS Decision Delayed, Rieter Slumps on Downgrade
Swiss benchmark gains 0.2% as investors welcome Fed's resolute inflation stance; UBS advances ahead of capital-rule vote while Rieter plunges after downgrade to Sell.
European Stocks Edged Higher as Oil Prices Continued to Slide
EuroStoxx 50 gained 0.58% to 6,302.86 as falling crude supported equities, while the Fed's latest rate hike drew mixed reactions from analysts.
Swiss Market Index holds gains amid Fed hike, UBS gains amid Ständerat vote
The SMI advances modestly as the Swiss market reacts to the Fed’s 25 bps rate hike and UBS’ capital rules vote, while Roche and Rieter face profit-taking pressures.
FTSE 100 Rises as Fed Hike Lifts Mood Ahead of BoE Decision
UK stocks gained ground Wednesday on the back of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate increase, with investors looking ahead to Thursday's Bank of England policy meeting.
Swiss Market Index rises; Roche downgraded, Rieter hit by UBS rating cut
Swiss equities mixed as SMI gains, but Roche and Rieter face downgrades; oil prices dip amid geopolitical uncertainty and Fed rate hike expectations.
SMI set for higher open; oil eases; Fed lifts rates again
Swiss markets brace for a firmer start as oil retreats from four-month highs, the Fed delivers its first hike in over three years, and AI-focused semiconductor names remain in demand despite broader US equity weakness.
SMI set for higher start as Boeing tumbles and semiconductors stay in demand
Swiss index guided up 0.5%, US futures recover 0.7% overnight, while Boeing drops 3.7% on 777X delay and AI chip names hold firm.
Pound Falls on Disappointing UK Jobs Data as Dollar Gains Strength
Sterling dropped after UK private-sector payrolls fell 34,000 in August, while the dollar index approached 100 ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve decision.
Swiss stocks fall after open; UBS, Partners Group and SMG drop
SMI opens 0.55% lower as UBS and Partners Group fall, SMG drops after ownership changes, Centiel rises, and oil gains ahead of the Fed decision.
DAX expected to hold after weak start as oil and Fed decision draw focus
The X-Dax points to a flat DAX open at 25,454 after Monday's 0.5% decline, while elevated oil prices and a likely Fed tightening decision shape the session.
European Stocks Fall as Crude Oil Holds Above $90 on Iranian Threats
Brent crude extends gains past $90 on Persian Gulf supply risks, compounding euro-area inflation pressure ahead of the ECB's expected rate hike.
Swiss franc strengthens after higher-than-expected Swiss inflation data
The Swiss franc surged after August inflation rose to a two-year high, while the euro and dollar weakened. Analysts see potential SNB tightening in December, though energy-driven price gains may limit immediate action.
US stocks rise on softer yields; Swiss franc strengthens after inflation surprise
U.S. benchmarks advance 0.4-0.6% at open as Treasury yields ease; SMI up 0.5% led by Roche and Logitech. Swiss inflation hits two-year high, lifting franc to 0.9392 per euro.
Swiss inflation hits two-year high, SNB rate hike odds rise
August CPI surge to 0.8% exceeds forecasts, lifting expectations for a potential Swiss National Bank rate increase by late 2027. Energy prices drive the jump while core inflation remains subdued.
Global bond rout pauses as European, Aussie yields retreat from peaks
German and Australian 10-year yields fall from multi-year highs after a week of aggressive selling, while U.S. labor data tempers rate-hike bets ahead of ECB meeting.
Swiss shares rise as defensive stocks lead; gold rallies on softer jobs data
Swiss Market Index edges higher as Roche and other defensive stocks gain; gold jumps 0.63% on dovish US jobs report and weaker dollar. US semiconductor and software stocks diverge in premarket trading.
Six EU net contributors push for deep cuts to €2 trillion budget plan
Germany, Austria and four other net contributors demand reductions of several hundred billion euros to the EU's 2028-2034 budget, citing national consolidation needs and rejecting further joint borrowing.
Bundesbank chief flags possible ECB rate hike, warns on Germany’s AAA rating
Joachim Nagel signals markets may be right on an ECB rate increase next week, citing persistent inflation, while urging Berlin to preserve Germany’s top credit rating amid a widening fiscal deficit.
Dollar slips as long-end yields fuel debasement trade ahead of Fed week
U.S. currency retreats from post-Fed gains as two-year SOFR holds above 4.20%, while ECB inflation data and RBNZ decision loom. Analysis flags risk of further losses unless hawkish repricing solidifies.
EUR/USD slips as dollar strengthens ahead of Eurozone inflation
Euro falls below 1.16 amid weak German retail data and rising oil prices, while USD/JPY approaches 160 as Japanese yields hit three-decade highs. Technical levels and U.S. payrolls data loom large.
EUR/USD trapped between key moving averages as ECB-Fed hike bets converge
The pair remains confined between the 100-day and 200-day moving averages after Eurozone inflation data reinforced expectations for a September ECB hike but tempered bets on further tightening.
GBP/USD holds near 1.3535 as Fed, BOE decisions loom
Sterling struggles to extend gains above 1.35 as global yields surge and policy divergence risks weigh ahead of key central bank meetings. Gilt yields hit multi-decade highs.
European stocks rise on Fed hawkish signals ahead of U.S. rate decision
Euro Stoxx 50 gains 0.95% as investors price in potential September Fed hike; FTSE 100 and SMI also advance. Warsh signals readiness for tighter policy amid persistent inflation concerns.
Swiss equities rise as all SMI stocks gain; gold dips ahead of U.S. inflation data
The Swiss Market Index advances in early trade, led by Amrize, Kühne+Nagel and Logitech. Gold slips 0.3% to $4,642.74 per ounce as investors await the July PCE data and a speech by Fed’s Warsh.
Dollar strengthens on Fed hawkishness; euro, yen and Aussie under pressure
The U.S. dollar extended gains after hawkish remarks by Fed Chair Warsh, pressuring the euro, yen and Australian dollar. European inflation data and oil price gains added to market focus.
German DAX dips 0.6% from record as oil prices rise amid Middle East tensions
German blue-chip index slips after brief rally to all-time high, as investors weigh geopolitical risks, oil price surge and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike. MDax and Euro Stoxx 50 also decline.
Dollar correction gathers pace as Fed hike odds rise, EU risks mount
The greenback’s recent rebound faces headwinds as hawkish Fed repricing collides with political uncertainty in Europe and Japan. Correction seen extending into Q4.
European stocks slip as Iran tensions, rate hike bets weigh
DAX falls 0.9% after record close as Brent crude jumps 3.8% to $91.45/bbl; investors eye Fed policy signals and oil sector gains.
German 10-year Bund yield hits 15-year high as oil, rates rise
Ten-year German government bond yield climbs to 3.29%, highest since 2011, as U.S. rate hawkishness and Brent crude at $89.80 per barrel fuel bond selloff. Two-year Bund yield also hits multi-year peak.
Swiss equities slip on oil, Fed bets; Roche weighs on SMI
The Swiss Market Index fell 0.1% as Roche dragged, while Kühne+Nagel gained 1.4%. Brent crude rose 3.3% to $90.98 amid Middle East tensions and delayed Hormuz Strait talks.
German bond yields hit multi-year highs after hawkish Fed signals
Eurozone sovereign debt selloff accelerates after U.S. Treasury yields surge on remarks by Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh. ECB rate decision looms.
German stocks set for modest gain ahead of Jackson Hole; Nvidia rallies on earnings
Dax futures point to a 0.3% rise as Nvidia's quarterly results exceed expectations, lifting chipmakers and tech peers. Fed's preferred inflation gauge remains elevated ahead of central bank symposium.
Euro yields rebound after Schnabel warns on inflation fight
German two-year Bund yield rises to two-week high as ECB policymaker signals further rate hikes may be needed. U.S. Treasury yields also climb ahead of Jackson Hole symposium.
U.S. core PCE inflation holds at 3.3% in July, matching forecasts
Analysts see sticky services inflation as a key risk, with Fed policy focus shifting to Jackson Hole and September FOMC meeting. Consumer spending growth adjusted for inflation flat.
German DAX hits record high after Fed’s Warsh signals rate hike risk
German blue-chip index climbs 0.77% to fresh peak after US central bank chief warns of inflation fight; automakers and chemicals lead gains. Euro Stoxx 50 advances 0.95% as risk appetite persists.
Germany posts stronger-than-expected Q2 growth, Q2 deficit hits record €71.3bn
German GDP rose 0.3% in Q2, beating prior estimates, while the state deficit widened to €71.3bn in H1 due to defense and infrastructure spending. Analysts warn of rising debt costs amid weak tax revenues.
Global economic calendar: Key events for Aug 27, 2026
Earnings season continues with German, French and U.S. companies reporting quarterly figures while central bank data and labor indicators take center stage in Europe and the U.S.
Germany's budget deficit hits 3.1% of GDP in H1, breaches EU limit
Deficit surges to €71.3 billion as federal shortfall widens by €29 billion year-on-year, driven by defense spending and subsidies. Rising borrowing costs compound fiscal strain.
US stocks mixed as oil dips, SMI extends losses; ABB falls, Richemont rises
U.S. benchmarks diverge with Dow up 0.1%, S&P 500 down 0.3% and Nasdaq 100 down 0.6% as Brent crude drops 1.1% to $93.10. Swiss SMI falls 0.47% with ABB leading decliners and Richemont among top gainers.
US stocks slip at week’s open; Intel, AMD drag tech; SMI near lows
Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 fall 0.1%, 0.3% and 0.6% respectively as chipmakers lag. Brent crude dips 1% to $93.22/bbl amid Iran sanctions outlook.
Truflation forecasts July core PCE at 0.2% MoM, Fed seen on hold through 2026
U.S. core inflation expected to rise 0.2% month-over-month in July, while Truflation projects the Federal Reserve will forgo rate hikes for the remainder of the year amid mixed economic signals.
Brazil sets 2027 minimum wage at R$1,741, budget bill on track
The federal government has finalized the minimum wage for 2027 at R$1,741, with the 2027 budget bill set for submission by August 31. Adjustments comply with legal inflation and GDP-linked formulas.
European stocks mixed as Iran sanctions, Nvidia loom over week
Euro Stoxx 50 slipped 0.22% as traders awaited U.S. sanctions on Iran, Nvidia earnings and Jackson Hole policy signals. FTSE 100 rose 0.35% on metal gains; SMI flat near 14,447.
Global markets cautious amid geopolitical tensions and Nvidia earnings
Swiss and European equities edge lower as investors await key U.S. data, central bank signals and Nvidia’s AI chip results. Oil and gold move in opposite directions.
Swiss equities slip as SMI lags; Roche, Novartis weigh; Richemont gains
Swiss benchmark SMI falls 0.25% to 14,423 as Roche and Novartis slide, while Richemont leads gains. US futures point to a softer open after a mixed week.
DAX holds above 26,000 as investors await Nvidia and Fed cues
German blue-chip index steadies near 26,134 points after Friday’s rebound, but faces resistance toward record highs amid key macro and earnings events this week. Semiconductor and auto shares lag while materials gain.
EUR/USD hits 1.1700, highest since May, as dollar weakens
Euro gains ground on improving eurozone data and US Treasury bond buyback expansion, while technical levels suggest limited upside ahead of key US economic releases this week.
USD/JPY stuck in 158-159.78 range as US curve tensions persist
Yield differentials with Japan and Treasury’s efforts to cap long-end borrowing costs keep the dollar-yen pair range-bound. Fed’s Warsh faces a policy dilemma ahead of Jackson Hole.
DAX seen lower as investors eye Nvidia earnings, Iran sanctions and Jackson Hole
German blue-chip index expected to slip 0.2% at open as geopolitical risks and key U.S. events weigh on sentiment. Support at 26,000 and 21-day line in focus.
Dollar outlook hinges on UST buybacks and Fed credibility, BofA says
Stronger U.S. Treasury buybacks and policy credibility concerns weigh on the greenback, with gold and franc outperforming as investors reassess dollar fundamentals.
U.S. economic data due Monday: Chicago Fed index, Treasury bill auctions
Chicago Fed activity gauge and $50 billion in 3- and 6-month Treasury bill sales headline Monday’s U.S. data slate. Previous readings show modest contraction and steady yields.
U.S. national debt surpasses $40 trillion for first time
Total public debt reaches $40.047 trillion as borrowing accelerates under Trump and Biden administrations amid rising deficits and Treasury bond yields.
U.S. judge blocks visa suspension for applicants from 75 countries
Federal judge rules State Department exceeded authority in barring immigrant visas based on nationality. Policy covered Latin America, Africa and parts of Asia.
U.S. national debt tops $40 trillion as servicing costs near $1.4 trillion
Crossing the $40 trillion mark, the U.S. faces rising debt servicing expenses and elevated Treasury yields, with projections pointing to $50 trillion by 2029. Market intervention has done little to curb structural pressures.
Bank of America warns of market fallout if U.S. bond plan fails
BofA strategist Hartnett sees dollar weakness and increased short bets on risk assets if 30-year Treasury yields stay above 5%. S&P 500 drops 1.9% amid bond-market volatility.
BOJ’s July 2027 meeting timing fuels speculation on rate hike timing
The Bank of Japan’s next policy meeting, scheduled for July 21-22, 2027, coincides with the expiration of two hawkish board members’ terms, raising questions about the central bank’s normalization strategy.
Gold rises as Trump escalates economic pressure on Iran
U.S. sanctions threat against Iran lifts gold, oil prices; Fed rate-hike odds remain low ahead of Jackson Hole. Analysis flags technical resistance and profit-taking risks.
U.S. Treasury's Bessent to outline Iran sanctions plan on Monday
Secretary Scott Bessent will detail planned measures against Iran and Treasury bond buybacks at a press conference. Bond yields surged before partially reversing after Wednesday's support announcement.
U.S. debt tops $40 trillion as Fed minutes, Iran tensions lift markets
Fed minutes show dissent on rates as U.S. debt surpasses $40 trillion; Brent crude rises on geopolitical risks while Walmart's ad unit growth supports retail shares.
Analysis: US Treasury buybacks seen supporting softer dollar, risk appetite
Analysts argue the latest US Treasury intervention signals concern over high bond yields rather than a policy credibility crisis, potentially aiding high-beta and emerging market currencies.
China holds benchmark lending rates steady for 15th month in August
The People's Bank of China kept the one-year and five-year loan prime rates unchanged at 3.00% and 3.50%, respectively, as policymakers prioritize fiscal support over further monetary easing amid weak July economic data.
U.S. 30-year Treasury yield jumps 5.4 bps after debt buyback plan
Long-dated U.S. bond yields rose after the Treasury announced a larger debt buyback program, while global stocks edged higher following four straight sessions of declines.
U.S. Treasury may expand bond buyback program beyond $4 bln per issue
Secretary Bessent signals potential increase in Treasury bond repurchases to stabilize markets and address yield distortions. Update follows surprise doubling of buyback size announced Wednesday.
U.S. debt surpasses $40 trillion for first time
Total public debt hits $40.047 trillion as Treasury ramps up long-dated bond buybacks to ease yields amid rising term premiums.
U.S. Treasury doubles long-dated bond buybacks after yield surge
Long-dated U.S. Treasury yields fell 10 bps after the government doubled planned bond buybacks. Stocks rose, gold and bitcoin gained, while the dollar weakened sharply against the Swiss franc.
Fed minutes show growing inflation worries at July meeting
Minutes from the July 28-29 Federal Reserve meeting reveal increased concerns over broad-based price pressures, with three policymakers dissenting in favor of a rate hike. The benchmark rate remained at 3.50%-3.75%.
U.S. Treasury yields surge in 2026 as bond ETFs face steep losses
Long-dated Treasury yields hit multi-year highs in August 2026 amid fiscal deterioration and inflation persistence, pressuring bond ETFs like TLT and AGG into deep oversold territory.
U.S. accused of interest-rate manipulation after doubling bond buybacks
Criticism of the Swiss National Bank’s currency interventions highlights parallels with Washington’s bond-market interventions, which similarly distort market pricing. Analysis of policy overlap and unintended consequences.
G7 government debt pressures mount as borrowing costs surge
U.S. debt tops $40 trillion while Japanese and German yields hit multi-decade highs. OECD interest payments overtake defense spending.
Bitcoin holds near $64K as U.S. crypto policy, Iran tensions weigh
Top cryptocurrencies consolidate gains after White House meeting with Trump and regulators, while geopolitical risks cap upside. Treasury bond buybacks expand to support long-dated debt.
China set to hold loan prime rates steady in August amid weak economy
All 25 surveyed banks expect the one-year and five-year loan prime rates to remain at 3.00% and 3.50%, respectively, as policymakers prioritize fiscal measures over monetary easing.
RBA signals potential rate hike as inflation risks rise
Reserve Bank of Australia holds rates steady but warns of further tightening if upside inflation risks materialize, citing Middle East tensions and AI-driven demand.
Gold steadies near $4,500/oz as yields ease; Fed minutes awaited
Bullion pared losses after a sharp drop as U.S. Treasury yields declined and oil prices rose. Treasury to double buyback operations next month as Fed minutes loom.
Dollar, euro lose nearly half their purchasing power since 2000
U.S. dollar and euro purchasing power halved over 25 years, while Swiss franc held value better amid divergent central bank policies. Inflation trends and wage dynamics compared.
Brazil's fiscal reforms face 'painful final mile', says minister
Brazil's economy chief warns of difficult negotiations ahead as fiscal reforms near completion, citing resistance to spending cuts and tax adjustments.
EUR/USD hits eight-week high; focus shifts to U.S. data
Euro strengthens to highest level since late March as markets await U.S. inflation and jobs data for next Fed move. Dollar faces pressure ahead of key releases.
EUR/USD rallies as dollar's exceptional strength wanes
Euro gains ground as broad dollar weakness reduces the currency's dominance, with EUR/USD approaching key resistance levels.
Citi expects Fed to hold rates steady in September after inflation data
Analysts at Citi cite recent inflation readings as key factor in likely policy pause next month.
U.S. dollar weakens amid mixed economic signals
Dollar index declines as traders reassess Fed policy outlook after mixed U.S. data. Focus shifts to upcoming inflation and jobs reports for direction.
EUR/USD nears 1.1560 resistance after ECB-Fed policy divergence
Euro gains ground as ECB signals cautious rate path while Fed signals potential cuts. Traders eye 1.1560 level as key technical barrier.
U.S. 30-year bond yields hit 25-year high as inflation concerns weigh
Long-term borrowing costs surge to levels last seen in 2001 amid persistent inflation uncertainty and elevated government debt supply. Treasury auctions remain well-covered despite rising yields.
U.S. inflation proves stickier than July CPI suggests, analysts warn
Underlying price pressures remain elevated despite a mild July CPI reading, raising concerns over the Federal Reserve's policy path. Bitcoin's volatility reflects shifting market expectations.
U.S. budget deficit hits $1.8 trillion in first 10 months of fiscal 2024
Deficit widens as spending outpaces revenue, driven by interest costs and defense allocations. Fiscal year ends Sept. 30.
U.S. budget deficit widens beyond forecasts in latest data
Shortfall exceeds projections as spending outpaces revenue, raising fiscal concerns amid economic uncertainty.
Euro zone bond yields fall as U.S. inflation cools in July
German 10-year Bund yield drops to two-week low as softer U.S. CPI data fuels bets on global rate cuts.
S&P 500, Nasdaq rise after inflation data, strong earnings
U.S. equities advanced as softer-than-expected inflation data and upbeat corporate earnings outweighed growth concerns. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lagged.
Euro zone bond yields dip after softer U.S. inflation data
German 10-year Bund yields fell below 2.5% as cooler-than-expected U.S. CPI reading boosted demand for core euro zone debt.
US CPI data looms as Fed rate decision nears
Consumer prices report may determine whether the Federal Reserve delivers a rate hike next month. Economists expect modest inflation cooling.
U.S. 10-year yield hits 2024 high as long bond demand weakens
Benchmark Treasury yield rises above 4.5% as investors reassess demand for long-duration debt amid shifting rate expectations.
U.S. CPI data may fuel dovish Fed expectations
Wednesday's inflation print could shift market bets on Federal Reserve policy, with softer-than-expected data potentially accelerating rate-cut timelines.
