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Euro bonds pressured as oil tops $100 before ECB decision

European bond yields stayed elevated as Brent crude crossed $100 and U.S. Treasury yields rose, with markets weighing inflation risks ahead of the ECB's rate decision.

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Elena Kovač · Central Banks Desk · 15 Sept 2026 · 16:37 · 2 min de lecture
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Euro bonds pressured as oil tops $100 before ECB decision

European bond markets continued to show pressure as energy prices rose ahead of the European Central Bank's rate decision. The move came amid a broader rise in Treasury yields and renewed geopolitical risk in the Middle East.

The U.S. Treasury Department said it would buy back up to $6 billion in 10-year to 20-year maturities on Thursday, an increase from the $2 billion size previously announced. Last month, the department said it would raise buyback sizes to at least $4 billion, while media reports had anticipated at least $10 billion.

Following the announcement, U.S. Treasury yields added to gains on Wednesday. The benchmark 10-year yield rose 4.2 basis points to 4.846%, after it had earlier climbed 1.2 basis points to 4.816%. The yield could move toward the 5.0% level. The rate-sensitive 2-year yield increased 2.5 basis points to 4.423%.

Oil markets also contributed to the risk backdrop. Brent crude futures topped $100 a barrel, crossing the triple-digit mark for the first time since May. At the time of data logging, Brent was trading at $101.75, up 0.09%.

The rise in energy prices came as escalating military engagements in the Middle East continued. Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen launched coordinated strikes on several Saudi Arabian cities on Tuesday. Direct U.S. attacks were reported on multiple Iranian oil tankers, and a retaliatory Iranian missile strike targeted a U.S. military base in Jordan.

U.S. economic data added to the inflation debate. August nonfarm payrolls showed employers added an unexpected 162,000 jobs. Financial futures assigned roughly a 60% probability to a 25-basis-point interest rate increase at the Federal Reserve's policy meeting scheduled for September 15-16.

The U.S. Producer Price Index is due Thursday, while the Consumer Price Index is scheduled for Friday. The data releases fall ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting and the ECB's rate decision.

Cet article a été produit avec l'assistance de l'IA et édité par un journaliste de Finance Review Daily.
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Elena Kovač
Central Banks Desk

Elena covers macroeconomic data and policy across the eurozone, translating industrial output, inflation and growth figures into what they mean for markets.

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