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Economy

Japan's wholesale inflation spikes in July, raising rate‑hike odds
MacroArticle

Japan's wholesale inflation spikes in July, raising rate‑hike odds

July wholesale price inflation in Japan surged, boosting expectations that the Bank of Japan may move toward a rate increase.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
US weekly jobless claims fall to 206,000, below forecasts
InflationArticle

US weekly jobless claims fall to 206,000, below forecasts

Initial unemployment claims declined by 6,000 to 206,000 in the week ended Aug. 15, while continuing claims rose to 1.799 million. The labor market remains tight with the jobless rate at 4.1%.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
India’s infrastructure output growth slows to 5.4% in July
MacroArticle

India’s infrastructure output growth slows to 5.4% in July

India’s infrastructure output rose 5.4% year-on-year in July, down from 6% in June, as iron ore and electricity production moderated. The expansion reflects a revised series with 2022-23 as the base year.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
Fed’s Daly says Treasury actions not yet a focus amid inflation mandate
Central BanksArticle

Fed’s Daly says Treasury actions not yet a focus amid inflation mandate

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly signals the central bank remains concentrated on its 2% inflation target, downplaying immediate impact of Treasury’s debt management steps.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
IMF hails Lebanon bank law changes as ‘major step’ amid crisis
MacroArticle

IMF hails Lebanon bank law changes as ‘major step’ amid crisis

Parliament passes amendments to bank resolution framework, meeting 99% of IMF demands, but president’s approval and Constitutional Council review still pending.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
Fed’s Daly says bond market reflects well-positioned policy stance
Central BanksArticle

Fed’s Daly says bond market reflects well-positioned policy stance

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly cites Treasury market signals as evidence that current monetary policy is appropriately calibrated, while dismissing urgency for preemptive rate adjustments.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
Canada industrial prices rise 0.6% in July on energy gains
InflationArticle

Canada industrial prices rise 0.6% in July on energy gains

Industrial producer prices increased for the first time in two months, led by energy and petroleum products, while core measures excluding energy softened. Annual gain remains elevated at 12.4%.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
G7 government debt pressures mount as borrowing costs surge
MacroArticle

G7 government debt pressures mount as borrowing costs surge

U.S. debt tops $40 trillion while Japanese and German yields hit multi-decade highs. OECD interest payments overtake defense spending.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
UK statistics office raises 2023 and 2024 growth estimates
MacroArticle

UK statistics office raises 2023 and 2024 growth estimates

The UK's official statistics body has upwardly revised its estimates for economic growth in 2023 and 2024.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
Nigeria’s reforms averted economic collapse, finance minister says
MacroArticle

Nigeria’s reforms averted economic collapse, finance minister says

Subsidy cuts and currency devaluation generated $11.7bn in savings while shrinking the official-parallel FX gap to under 5%.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
Japan’s bond rout threatens fiscal plans as 10-year yield nears 3%
Central BanksArticle

Japan’s bond rout threatens fiscal plans as 10-year yield nears 3%

Surge in JGB yields to three-decade highs risks derailing Japan’s fiscal strategy, with debt-servicing costs projected to rise by over 30% by fiscal 2029. Policy makers face limited options amid persistent inflation pressures.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
U.S. Treasury expands buybacks as long-dated yields retreat from 19-year highs
Central BanksArticle

U.S. Treasury expands buybacks as long-dated yields retreat from 19-year highs

Expanded liquidity operations target 10-30 year Treasuries as 30-year yield drops 14 bps from peak. Policy shift follows two-day global bond rout.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
UK inflation rises to 2.9% in July, exceeding BoE target
InflationArticle

UK inflation rises to 2.9% in July, exceeding BoE target

Consumer prices climb 2.9% year-on-year, up from 2.6% in June, driven by housing and household services costs. Core inflation remains steady at 2.6%.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
ECB's Lagarde warns Europe's post-war growth model is eroding
MacroArticle

ECB's Lagarde warns Europe's post-war growth model is eroding

ECB President Christine Lagarde highlights the weakening of Europe's three historical growth pillars—global trade, mid-tech manufacturing, and a stable rules-based order—while outlining domestic resilience and policy responses.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
Swiss industrial output rises 5.5% in Q2, reversing Q1 slump
MacroArticle

Swiss industrial output rises 5.5% in Q2, reversing Q1 slump

Switzerland’s manufacturing sector rebounds with a 5.5% year-on-year increase in Q2, while industrial sales fall 0.3%. Construction excluded from data.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
China set to hold loan prime rates steady in August amid weak economy
Central BanksArticle

China set to hold loan prime rates steady in August amid weak economy

All 25 surveyed banks expect the one-year and five-year loan prime rates to remain at 3.00% and 3.50%, respectively, as policymakers prioritize fiscal measures over monetary easing.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
Slovakia’s July inflation slows to 3.2% y/y from 3.5%
InflationArticle

Slovakia’s July inflation slows to 3.2% y/y from 3.5%

Slovak consumer prices rose 0.1% month-on-month in July, while annual inflation eased to 3.2% from 3.6% in June, defying expectations for a monthly decline.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
ECB’s Rehn says wage growth stays moderate, inflation risks limited
Central BanksArticle

ECB’s Rehn says wage growth stays moderate, inflation risks limited

Finland’s central bank chief cites anchored expectations as key to preventing second-round effects amid steady wage trends.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026
UK CPI accelerates to 2.9% on energy costs, matching forecasts
InflationArticle

UK CPI accelerates to 2.9% on energy costs, matching forecasts

Headline inflation rose to a four-month high as Ofgem's energy price cap reset lifted household bills by £221. Analysts see limited second-round effects but warn of further upside.

Elena Kovač · 20 Aug 2026