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Morgan Stanley turns hawkish, sees two Fed hikes and an ECB move

Morgan Stanley has shifted to a more hawkish stance, forecasting two upcoming Federal Reserve rate hikes and a move by the European Central Bank.

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Elena Kovač · Central Banks Desk · 15 Sept 2026 · 11:33 · 1 min read
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Morgan Stanley turns hawkish, sees two Fed hikes and an ECB move

Morgan Stanley has shifted to a more hawkish stance, forecasting two upcoming Federal Reserve rate hikes and a move by the European Central Bank.

The forecast is based on institutional rate expectations and analyst notes rather than an executed central bank decision. The note signals potential shifts in institutional rate expectations ahead of upcoming policy decisions by the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, with potential spillover into European and global markets.

The note was reported on Sept. 15, 2026.

This article was produced with AI assistance and edited by a Finance Review Daily journalist.
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Written by
Elena Kovač
Central Banks Desk

Elena covers macroeconomic data and policy across the eurozone, translating industrial output, inflation and growth figures into what they mean for markets.

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Morgan Stanley sees two Fed hikes, ECB move · Finance Review Daily