CFTC overrides NY lawsuit to allow Kalshi prediction markets to continue
Commodity Futures Trading Commission orders Kalshi to maintain operations in New York despite state lawsuit targeting sports-related prediction markets.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has directed Kalshi to continue operating its prediction markets in New York, overriding a legal challenge from state regulators.
The decision follows a lawsuit filed by New York Attorney General Letitia James last month, which sought to block Kalshi from offering sports-related prediction markets within the state. The CFTC’s order asserts federal authority over the matter, effectively allowing Kalshi to maintain its operations while the legal dispute proceeds.
Kalshi, a regulated prediction market platform, has not commented publicly on the CFTC’s directive. The company’s markets allow users to trade on the outcomes of future events, including sports, politics, and economic indicators, under CFTC oversight.
The New York lawsuit alleges that Kalshi’s sports-related markets violate state gambling laws. However, the CFTC’s intervention underscores the broader regulatory divide between federal and state jurisdictions in the oversight of prediction markets. The agency has previously classified certain prediction markets as commodities, subject to its jurisdiction, while states like New York have taken a stricter stance on gambling-related activities.
Legal experts suggest the CFTC’s move may set a precedent for how similar platforms operate across the U.S., particularly in states with conflicting regulations. The outcome of the lawsuit could influence the broader regulatory landscape for prediction markets and other financialized event contracts.
The CFTC’s order does not resolve the underlying legal dispute but provides Kalshi with temporary relief to continue operations pending further proceedings.


Sophie covers currency markets and central bank policy across Europe, with a focus on how rate decisions ripple through FX pairs. She has been tracking the ECB's policy path since the start of the current easing cycle.
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