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U.S. jobless claims fall to 203,000, below forecasts

Initial unemployment claims declined by 4,000 to 203,000 last week, undershooting expectations as the labor market remains tight. The four-week moving average edged down to 207,750.

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Sophie Laurent · FX & Rates Desk · 2 Sept 2026 · 08:37 · 1 min read
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U.S. jobless claims fall to 203,000, below forecasts

The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits decreased by 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 203,000 in the week ending August 22, the Labor Department reported on Thursday.

Economists polled by Reuters had expected claims to rise to 208,000. The latest figure marks a modest decline from the prior week's revised level of 207,000 and keeps claims within the 189,000–230,000 range observed throughout 2026.

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The four-week moving average, which smooths volatility, fell by 1,750 to 207,750, reflecting a gradual easing in layoffs despite ongoing economic uncertainty.

The data follows a Labor Department report last week showing the U.S. unemployment rate edged down to 4.1% in July, a historically low level that underscores continued tightness in the labor market.

The figures arrive as inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for 65 consecutive months, complicating the central bank's policy calculus. Separately, the U.S. goods trade deficit widened to $118.8 billion in July, up from $101.4 billion in June, as exports fell 2.9% and imports rose 3.7%.

This article was produced with AI assistance and edited by a Finance Review Daily journalist.
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Written by
Sophie Laurent
FX & Rates Desk

Sophie covers currency markets and central bank policy across Europe, with a focus on how rate decisions ripple through FX pairs. She has been tracking the ECB's policy path since the start of the current easing cycle.

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