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Japan’s exports surge 23% to record high in July

Shipments to U.S. and China drive 23.2% year-on-year gain, outpacing import growth as trade deficit narrows. Yen weakness and AI demand cited as key supports.

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Sophie Laurent · FX & Rates Desk · 21 Aug 2026 · 03:27 · 1 min read
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Japan’s exports surge 23% to record high in July

Japan’s exports rose 23.2% year-on-year in July to a record 11.5 trillion yen, the fastest pace since 2010, as demand for semiconductors and AI-related infrastructure bolstered shipments to major trading partners.

Exports to the United States increased 22% from a year earlier, while shipments to China climbed 25.8%, according to data released Thursday. The gains extended a 19.3% rise in June, exceeding market forecasts of a 19.9% increase. A weaker yen, which stood at 158.39 per dollar, improved the competitiveness of Japanese goods abroad.

Imports also surged, up 27.8% to a second consecutive monthly record of 12.1 trillion yen, or $76.39 billion, driven by higher energy costs and a 5.5% increase in crude oil import volumes—the first rise in four months. The value of oil imports jumped 87.8%, reflecting elevated global prices and a shift toward pricier U.S. crude shipments over Middle Eastern supplies.

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The trade deficit narrowed to 634.5 billion yen, below the 680 billion yen forecast, as export growth outpaced import expansion. Producer prices rose 7.2% year-on-year, reflecting persistent upward pressure from commodity and energy costs.

Economists at Daiwa Institute of Research noted that the recovery in crude volumes, combined with high oil prices and increased U.S. crude shipments, has been pushing up import values. The Bank of Japan is widely expected to raise interest rates in September, following three consecutive quarters of economic expansion.

The data underscores Japan’s reliance on external demand amid a backdrop of rising global energy prices and a depreciating currency.

This article was produced with AI assistance and edited by a Finance Review Daily journalist.
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Written by
Sophie Laurent
FX & Rates Desk

Sophie covers currency markets and central bank policy across Europe, with a focus on how rate decisions ripple through FX pairs. She has been tracking the ECB's policy path since the start of the current easing cycle.

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