Persistent gray zone conflicts and long-term military preparations are expected to maintain upward pressure on global crude oil prices, according to market analysis. The interplay between geopolitical tensions and strategic state readiness creates an environment where supply disruptions and risk premiums remain a persistent factor for energy markets.
Observers note that gray zone activities—actions falling below the threshold of conventional warfare—alongside extended defense preparations, continue to complicate global supply chains and heighten uncertainty across the energy sector. These structural dynamics suggest that oil price volatility and elevated risks could persist for an extended duration.
