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ECB's Cipollone sees low risk of stagflation from Strait of Hormuz crisis

European Central Bank policymaker Piero Cipollone says macroeconomic changes warrant monitoring but sees no immediate signs of stagflation despite geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.

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Elena Kovač · Central Banks Desk · 24 Aug 2026 · 15:57 · 1 min read
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ECB's Cipollone sees low risk of stagflation from Strait of Hormuz crisis

A senior European Central Bank official said on Monday that the risk of stagflation arising from the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz remains remote, despite ongoing geopolitical tensions in the region.

Piero Cipollone, an ECB Executive Board member, told Italian news outlet Il Sussidiario that while the central bank will continue to track shifts in the macroeconomic environment, current indicators do not point to a stagflation scenario. "Of course we will need to monitor changes in the macroeconomic environment, but, for now, there are no signs pointing to a stagflation scenario," he said.

The comments were made amid heightened concerns over potential disruptions to global oil supply routes following recent tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for maritime trade. The ECB has previously emphasized the need to assess second-round effects of energy price shocks on inflation and growth.

Cipollone’s remarks were published on Monday, August 24, 2026, in an interview conducted ahead of the article’s release. The discussion follows a period of volatility in energy markets and comes as central banks worldwide maintain a cautious stance on inflation risks.

Separately, the article included reference to a technology-focused investment strategy launched in November 2023. The "Titãs da Tecnologia" strategy, as reported by the outlet, delivered returns more than double those of the S&P 500 since its inception. Within this strategy, Siemens Energy surged 231.5% and Sandisk rose 189%, according to the strategy’s promotional materials.

The ECB has not directly linked these investment performance figures to its monetary policy stance or macroeconomic assessments.

This article was produced with AI assistance and edited by a Finance Review Daily journalist.
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Written by
Elena Kovač
Central Banks Desk

Elena covers macroeconomic data and policy across the eurozone, translating industrial output, inflation and growth figures into what they mean for markets.

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