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Brazil’s 2027 budget projects 0.1% primary surplus, below target

Planning Minister Bruno Moretti confirms the 2027 budget will forecast a 0.1% primary surplus, falling short of the 0.50% target due to court-ordered spending exclusions.

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Sophie Laurent · FX & Rates Desk · 2 Sept 2026 · 03:25 · 1 min read
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Brazil’s 2027 budget projects 0.1% primary surplus, below target

Brazil’s 2027 budget proposal will forecast a primary surplus of 0.1% of GDP, the Planning and Budget Minister Bruno Moretti said on Friday, marking a reduction from the government’s official target.

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The government’s stated fiscal goal for 2027 is a primary surplus of 0.50% of GDP, but the upcoming budget bill will reflect a narrower surplus of 0.1%, according to Moretti’s announcement in an interview with Valor Economico. The discrepancy stems from the exclusion of certain expenditures from the calculation, including court-ordered payments.

The official target includes a tolerance band of 0.25 percentage points in either direction, allowing flexibility in meeting the surplus objective. Moretti did not specify whether the revised forecast would prompt adjustments to the broader fiscal framework or policy measures.

This article was produced with AI assistance and edited by a Finance Review Daily journalist.
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Written by
Sophie Laurent
FX & Rates Desk

Sophie covers currency markets and central bank policy across Europe, with a focus on how rate decisions ripple through FX pairs. She has been tracking the ECB's policy path since the start of the current easing cycle.

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