Recession

Volkswagen Announces 50,000 More Job Cuts in Overhaul That Lifts Shares 8%
Europe's largest carmaker approved its Future Plan 2030 restructuring, bringing total cuts to 100,000. Shares rallied as analysts saw a potential halo effect for the German auto industry.

Macro calendar: ZEW, ADP, Empire State among key data releases Monday
The German ZEW survey, UK jobs data, French consumer prices, and US ADP and Empire State manufacturing reports round out the Monday schedule.

Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank Offer Credit Baskets on French Election Outcome
Banks are marketing AT1 bond baskets and total-return swaps tied to France's April presidential vote, as political risk and a budget deficit above 5% weigh on French credit spreads.

Eurozone business activity steady in August as services slow
Eurozone composite PMI held at 52.0 in August, matching July’s eight-month high, while services activity slipped to a two-month low. Germany led regional growth, France remained in contraction.

Eurozone consumer confidence improves unexpectedly in August
Eurozone consumer sentiment rose 0.4 points to -15.5 in August, defying forecasts for a slight decline to -16.0, as EU data shows gradual recovery from March-April lows.

U.S. jobless claims drop to 206,000, beating forecasts
Initial unemployment filings fell below expectations for a second straight week, signaling steady labor market conditions despite recent volatility.

Latin America growth seen slowing to 2.2% in 2026: UN agency
ECLAC revises down 2026 GDP forecast to 2.2% from 2.3%, citing a more challenging global backdrop. Region expected to log five straight years of ~2.3% average expansion by 2027.

U.S. retail sales fall as consumer demand weakens
Monthly retail sales declined 0.6% in August, missing forecasts and signaling broader economic strain. Core sales also dipped, raising recession concerns.

China bank loans contract in July for second time in 2026
Loan demand weakens as new yuan loans fall to 810 billion yuan, underscoring persistent economic headwinds.

