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WTI crude holds below $82 as technicals signal indecision

Oil prices remain trapped between $80 and $84.50 as volume-weighted average price and moving averages cap gains. Traders eye a breakout toward $87.40 or a drop to $75.

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Sophie Laurent · FX & Rates Desk · 23 Aug 2026 · 04:20 · 1 min read
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WTI crude holds below $82 as technicals signal indecision

Crude oil futures for West Texas Intermediate slipped 0.5% to $81.08 on Monday, consolidating within a narrow $80 to $84.50 range as technical indicators pointed to indecision in the market.

The contract’s price hovered just below its volume-weighted average price of $81.40, reflecting choppy trading conditions and low conviction among participants. The 50-period simple moving average at $79.88 provided a floor, while resistance emerged near $84.50, leaving the market in a technical stalemate.

Momentum indicators underscored the lack of directional bias. The Average Directional Index registered at 13.4, signaling trend exhaustion, while the Money Flow Index at 12.98 indicated extreme oversold conditions. The MACD remained bearish, with its line at 0.24, suggesting limited upside momentum.

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Traders positioned for a potential breakout identified key levels for entry and risk management. A bullish setup targeting $82.50, $84.50, and $87.40 would require a move above $82.50, with a stop-loss placed at $77.50 to protect against a deeper pullback. Conversely, a bearish bias favored fading rallies toward $81.90, with downside targets at $79.50, $77.50, and $75.00, and a stop-loss set at $84.45.

The market’s current structure—defined by the $80.50 to $81.50 "no-trade" zone—has fostered a series of indecisive candles, including a doji at $81.20, further complicating directional bets. Analysts noted that a sustained break above $84.50 or below $80.00 would likely determine the next medium-term trend.

Data timestamps indicated the latest price update at 07:10 UTC on August 17, 2026, with real-time quotes reflecting trading activity from August 14.

This article was produced with AI assistance and edited by a Finance Review Daily journalist.
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Written by
Sophie Laurent
FX & Rates Desk

Sophie covers currency markets and central bank policy across Europe, with a focus on how rate decisions ripple through FX pairs. She has been tracking the ECB's policy path since the start of the current easing cycle.

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