Brazil’s 2026/27 corn harvest is now forecast at 145.6 million tons, an increase of 600,000 tons from the prior estimate, according to agricultural consultancy Safras & Mercado. The projection exceeds the 139.314 million tons anticipated for the 2025/26 season, reflecting steady expansion in planted area and stable yield expectations.
The first corn crop remains projected at 25.3 million tons, unchanged from the previous survey. The second crop, or safrinha, is expected to cover 15.82 million hectares in 2027, a 0.5% increase from the prior month’s forecast of 15.787 million hectares. Planting in the North and Northeast regions is projected to rise 2.4% to 2.67 million hectares, compared with 2.6 million hectares in the previous estimate.
Average yield for the 2026/27 season is forecast at 6,601 kilograms per hectare under normal weather conditions, nearly unchanged from the prior survey. This would surpass the 6,344 kilograms per hectare expected for the 2025/26 crop. Total corn area for 2026/27 is seen at 22.05 million hectares, up 0.4% from 2025/26.
Safras & Mercado reduced its sorghum production forecast for 2026 to 4.55 million tons, down from 5.08 million tons in the June survey. While the figure remains above the 3.679 million tons produced in the prior year, analysts cited dry weather in Goiás, Minas Gerais, and Mato Grosso as the key factor behind the downward revision.
